DocNDswamp's WunderBlog

SE LA Wx; Spring Forward, Lose Sleep - DST looms

By: DocNDswamp, 2:47 AM GMT on March 29, 2006

SE LA WX Update Box:
TUE MAR 28 2006 8 PM CST:

With zonal flow in place, warming trend continues; Max temps in L/Mid 70's should warm into the low 80's by late week; Drought relieving rains today in E TX evaporating as progress S and eastward, slight chance along coastal LA tonite...precip amts in excess of 8" fell in Gulf below TX/LA today and continue tonite, giving drought relief to the fish there (LOL)....slight 20% or less remain here w/ stalled/dissipating frontal boundary from E Cen TX across mid-South...

While the next main storm track leads from the desert SW toward the Midwest by late week, an approaching weak up level system now in MX - new storms firing in W TX - additionally may enhance rain chances here by Thu/Fri. Otherwise warm and below normal dry spring conditions will likely continue along N and E Gulf coastal areas and across FL peninsula w/ slim shot of scattered shwrs/T-storms. GFS model indicating possibly better chance of precip toward the end of next 7-10 day period as temps reaching the mid-80's add instability ahead of another western system.

Doc's 2006 Tropical Season Outlook #1:
18 Tropical Systems
2 Tropical/Subtropical Depressions
16 Named Storms
9-10 Hurricanes
5-6 Major Hurricanes (Cat 3-5)



Spring Forward, Lose Sleep...Yeah, that again.....

Remember, set your clocks ahead 1 hour Saturday nite.
Don't ya just love it. Daylight Savings Time...Oh it's fine once ya get accustomed to the change, but oh what a shock to the internal clock. Yep, the longer available day length gives many 9 to 5 'ers some play time in the late afternoon. Of course, those who work by daylight, like construction workers, are often just forced to work another hour (bah humbug). Then again, could always knock off early and have time for a late aftn fishing trip (Yay!)

Now just what idiot thought of such a silly plan?...Oh yeah, old Ben Franklin...probably had some roofers repairing storm damage, and figured out a way to get 'em back at it, after their siesta..."Why, it's only 4 o'clock, still PLENTY of sunlight left, now get with it!" Hmmmm, some things never change.

Well, I don't know about you, but man is the switch hard to adjust to for me. First, as days are already shortening up, suddenly by November, there is NO TIME LEFT to the late afternoon. Wow, does it get exaggerated. And that extra hour of sleep? Ha! Try saving it for spring when your night's rest gets abruptly ruined by that damn alarm. I've left many plastic pieces scattered when Doc's iron fist returned the early morning greeting to the offender.

And in 2007, standard time use is being reduced further thanks to legislative changes. Yeah, who else? Probably more statesmen with roof damage. Obviously, they didn't consult me on the change, or I would have recommended an alternative solution...either leave the dang time alone, or set it year round, 'cause I can't stand all this re-adjusting we're forced to deal with on a semi-annual basis. No, seriously....Here is what I suggest as a happy compromise - move standard time ahead one half hour and leave it there!!! No more switching back and forth. We'll be good to go....

Sure, they'll get your roof patched up, trust me. Just start 'em a half hour earlier! Oh brother.....

Updated: 2:52 AM GMT on March 29, 2006

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WUBA Peace Spring Forward!

By: DocNDswamp, 3:07 AM GMT on March 26, 2006

May WUBA's Blog in Peace!!!

I'll keep this short and sweet. This is a wonderful community comprised of weather buffs and lovers of the outdoors. We have endured all types of the worst weather found on the face of the earth and survived. We have learned from and taught each other, laughed and cried, discussed and cussed, agreed and disagreed. That ain't gonna change, but we must become determined to display tolerance and civility of each other in our discourse, and not let emotions overrule our better judgment. It is far easier to put out the match, than to extinguish the inferno.

Now, I am quite encouraged to find those qualities being embraced with a heartfelt rededication to the ideals of peaceful blogging within this fine community.

The past is history...and tomorrow awaits with new opportunities and challenges. Let's move forward!!!

Peace all......


Updated: 5:03 PM GMT on March 26, 2006

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SE LA WX Update...The Winds of March

By: DocNDswamp, 6:58 AM GMT on March 08, 2006

SE LA WX UPDATE:
Thu Mar 23 2006 1:00 PM CST:

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1056 AM CST THU MAR 23 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO AROUND 25 KNOTS AS A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE COASTAL WATERS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

NORTH WINDS OF 25 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE THE NEED FOR SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES OVER THE GULF COASTAL WATERS.

***************

Weekly Outlook: Overall dry pattern remains for extreme SE LA...Temps will trend progressively cooler...Possibly slight chance of precip Wed eve/Thu w/ next frontal movement as current WSW upper flow in jetstream shifts more NWLY on Thu/Fri across our area...and overnite lows may dip into the up 30's inland to low 40's coastal by Fri morning.
After todays highs in low to mid 70's, daily highs will likely only reach the 60's thru Sat, w/ 70's returning on Sun...

Note: Received NO RAIN here, once again from yesterday's (Monday) system...March total precip so far - .02"...last precip larger than trace to 1/10" on Feb 11 - .53"...

Update Thu Mar 23: Low and behold...received .30" of rain last nite as system passed, heaviest amt of month so far. Now up to a whopping .32"! We'll take it.

Doc's 2006 Tropical Season Outlook #1:
18 Tropical Systems
2 Tropical/Subtropical Depressions
16 Named Storms
9-10 Hurricanes
5-6 Major Hurricanes (Cat 3-5)


********************

N Gulf Coast / SE LA
Mar 8 2006

It's March? Wow, what happened to February? Why just the other day...

If there ever was a time optimized for kite flying, the month of March was tailor made for it. On the N Gulf coast, spring is fully underway and winter (or what passes for winter these days) is quickly becoming a fleeting memory. Surely a few brief bouts of cool weather remain to be seen but the rapidly increasing day length reduces winter impacts greatly here. Being a transitional month, March weather can vary widely from cold arctic blasts bringing snow and mid-20's deep into the South (highly unlikely this year) to warm southerly breezes ushering in near summerlike mid-80's (yep, on the way!). I won't discount another (up 30's) frosty morning yet, but our chance for another freeze looks poof! (C'mon winter, make a liar outta me!)

Beginning in Feb and continuing in March the chances for severe weather rise with the clash of airmasses. The risk of tornadoes increases, first along the Gulf coast then shifts steadily northward in latitude as spring progresses. But while cold and warm conditions fight for dominance the one constant that can be counted on is the wind...Breezy is the rule. March winds are so dependably rough that all coastal fishermen despise this month more than any other. The rule of thumb being, ya better catch 'em by 9 am, or forget about it...or find sheltered canals to fish, away from open waters...or, go fly a kite.

While the first week of this month has been sunny, relatively calm and seasonably cool to mild, warmer temps in the 80's are on the way...along with our friend, the wind. Another trend is generally dry conditions increase, broken by frontal passages that often bring more severe wx (and more high winds!) than beneficial rain amounts. How March plays out this year will be interesting. The last few years, drought conditions have prevailed through spring for many of us. While it's typical for the precip focus to shift northward into the mid-South and Midwest, the southern tailing end of fronts are washing out more so, bridging over with dry air by progressive systems. (That pattern had evidenced here by mid-Feb) We'll see if this continues, particularly the next 10 days. Who knows?

And of course, March winds signal...ya got 3 months to prepare before the tropics get active again...oh, how sweet.

Updated: 7:17 PM GMT on March 23, 2006

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The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

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