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Easter Weekend Update

By: BwalshNLWeather , 11:15 AM GMT on April 17, 2014

Good morning,

The weather models continue to have some difficulty in predicting the exact track and intensity of a system that will approach Newfoundland, from the south, on Saturday. The most recent guidance has shifted the track further to the southeast, which means that western side of Newfoundland will likely escape the system, with the heaviest snowfall amounts over Eastern Newfoundland. Even with a track east of the Avalon Saturday night, there is still a good chance of snow mixing with ice pellets and freezing rain on the Avalon. It’s unlikely that rain will mix in, except possibly over the Southeastern Avalon Saturday evening near the low. Based on the current guidance, snow develops across Southern and Eastern Newfoundland Saturday morning, before tapering to flurries Saturday evening. Flurries end overnight Saturday and fair skies should move back over the Island on Sunday.

Precipitation Amounts Saturday:
Southern Avalon: 5-10 cm snow/ice pellets. 5-10 mm freezing rain
Northern Avalon (including St. John’s)/Burin Peninsula: 10-15 cm snow/ice pellets; 2-5 mm freezing rain
Clarenville/Bonavista/Terra Nova: 15-20 cm snow
Central: 5-10 cm snow
Western: 2-5 cm snow
Northern Peninsula: Less than 2 cm snow

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

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About BwalshNLWeather

Operations Manager and Meteorologist with Ice & Environmental Services at Provincial Aerospace Ltd. I've been weather forecasting since 2000.

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