Busy Week, Halloween Storm

By: Buckey2745 , 3:13 PM GMT on October 28, 2013

We finally got below freezing on the morning of October 24th, but never saw the white stuff. I thought we may see some overnight that night but the atmosphere dried up before temps dropped. We did see some sleet Wednesday night, our first truly frozen precipitation of the season, but snow stayed away.

But once we broke that mark of below freezing, three of our last four mornings have started below freezing. And that should be it for a while for the sub 32 temps.

Potent Halloween Storm Probable
It's something about Halloween around here that brings the big storms. Last year it was Sandy bringing some snow on the 30th. This year we have a storm that is forecasted to be very powerful, possibly bringing severe weather to the area.

Thursday Afternoon GFS

The storm appears to be your typical fall-time severe weather maker, with a tight gradient between a deep northern plains low and an Atlantic high wedging us with pretty decent shear.

What we won't see with this is snow. The thought last week when I talked about this storm was a southern low would develop on the tail of this cold front, ride up the Appalachians and drawn in even more cold air on the backside for a potential early season storm.

That won't be happening.

Instead we should be looking out for a possible Slight Risk of severe weather coming from the SPC in the next 24-36 hours for the Thursday afternoon timeframe. I think the biggest risk will be high winds with a possible squall line that may develop. CAPE will be low, shear will be high, so I doubt it's much of a hail or tornado event.

I'll post more as Thursday gets closer. This is a huge concern for Central Ohioans and most communities have their trick or treat festivities planned for that evening. Timing will be everything for this.

Severe Weather Stats:
Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 6
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 8
Tornado Watches: 1
Tornado Warnings: 0
Flood Watches: 7
Flood Warnings: 1
Heat Advisories: 4
Excessive Heat Warnings: 0
Red Flag Warnings: 0

The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.

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About Buckey2745

I'm a 31 year old weather enthusiast from Central Ohio. Certified SKYWARN storm spotter.

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