I'm a 31 year old weather enthusiast from Central Ohio. Certified SKYWARN storm spotter.
By: Buckey2745 , 12:06 AM GMT on December 26, 2012
It's Christmas Day, but don't tell Winter Storm Euclid to take a hoilday. What a difference a day makes. Each computer model run over the past few days has trended the storm further west, bringing us closer to the warm core of the storm and reducing our snowfall amounts. Even yesterday I hinted at a snowfall prediction of 1-2". That doesn't seem right now.
Last night our area was placed under a Winter Storm Watch. Then bright and early this morning we were upgraded to a Warning. And then a couple hours ago they upgraded the wording of our warning. First, the warnings for our area:
Blizzard Warnings as close as Marysville have been creeping south and east. Now the 1-2" could be much much more.
Text from the latest warning:
...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM WEDNESDAY TO
1 AM EST THURSDAY...
* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW.
* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS WILL MOST LIKELY OCCUR
ALONG AND JUST NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 70 CORRIDOR.
This storm is going to have a very tight snowfall gradient. You can go 30 miles and probably see 5 more inches of snow. This wording is for all of Franklin County, which means some places may not hit that 6-10" mark. Some may.
I think here in the southeastern part we're right on the fringe of seeing all snow and seeing a mix through the late morning and early afternoon hours that would significantly cut down on totals, since this is the time period when the heaviest snow will fall.
The reason for the sudden change in forecast is the reality that the storm has ejected further south and east than models originall anticipated. Now it appears that the two paths I showed yesterday were innacurate... other than the original in terms of placement relative to Ohio. The low pressure appears to be passing just east of Ohio through Kentucky and West Virginia. If this storm wobbles either way, we will see a huge difference in snowfall totals.
That being said, here's the final prediction on snowfall accumulations:
For us here in Canal Winchester I am going with 5", mainly based off of QPF model estimates. This is assuming we only see a very brief switchover to sleet. Any more or any less will greatly effect this total.
I'll be running a liveblog tomorrow for our first major winter storm in two years.
Winter Weather Advisories- 1
Winter Storm Warnings- 1
Ice Storm Warnings- 0
Blizzard Warnings- 0
Freezing Rain Advisories- 0
Winter Storm Watches- 1
Wind Chill Advisories- 0
Wind Chill Warnings- 0
Blowing Snow Advisory- 0
October: 0.1" (Predicted: 0.1")
November: 0" (Predicted: 0.1")
December: 2.5" (Predicted: 2")
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