Nor'easter #2 looming?

By: Zachary Labe , 12:01 PM GMT on November 02, 2012

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Official NJ toll up to 22.

Got word they are pulling bodies out of homes left and right in Bay Head NJ....so now we know why Christie told people to stay out of there yesterday citing hazards to safety...and that nobody would recognize where they were if they tried to go there.

Also hearing that we aren't getting the full story from Staten Island and that they are doing the same there.

This death toll looks to rise substantially....and with this new storm looking possible (again, screw the models, until we got cyclogenesis) it's not going to get any better.

Station on the corner here ran out of gas today and they had to shut down. Fights broke out at a couple of stores that were running on generator and the cops cleared them out. Glad I prepared early and never went driving around after the storm to look around like some folks did. I was wondering what the purpose was.

I honestly would not have to leave my house for a month for any food if needed. That's just a matter of preference... eggs, bacon, etc. I may have Chicken Noodle Soup coming out my ears - and stories to tell of why I refuse to eat it years down the road.

Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 134 Comments: 34217
Quoting wunderstorm87:

This is why Joe Bastardi is such a joke. First of all...who takes the CMC model output and feeds it to the public knowing that it has a significant bias with regards to the strength of cyclones. On top of that he exaggerates the Canadian model output lower...it's nowhere near 931mb/27.50". He might as well go out and say this storm will be worse than Sandy if he shows the public a lower pressure than Sandy (which isn't even true in the first place).

/rant
ok, so it will not be as bad and no hibrid?
Member Since: October 27, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2109
Quoting Luisport:
Joe Bastardi%u200F@BigJoeBastardi

Canadian drops pressure to 27.50 and sends center into se new england. Huge problem http://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/264841804 996825088/photo/1/large

This is why Joe Bastardi is such a joke. First of all...who takes the CMC model output and feeds it to the public knowing that it has a significant bias with regards to the strength of cyclones. On top of that he exaggerates the Canadian model output lower...it's nowhere near 931mb/27.50". He might as well go out and say this storm will be worse than Sandy if he shows the public a lower pressure than Sandy (which isn't even true in the first place).

/rant
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Quoting colortheworld:
No please don't think I was trying to get you to leave, I'm thinking maybe for the good of the order you can batch them into one post, condensing them instead of one tweet per post?

It's certainly a good service to post them, especially to those who do not use twitter, but I can see where some people would get tired of seeing 45 consecutive posts of just 1 tweet at a shot, instead of say, 3 or 4 with a whole bunch of them? You see what I'm saying?

Like, I think we get 50 posts per page here, some info (especially during big storm threads) can find their way into interactive hell easily because of the volume of posts. Maybe if you batch some of these, it won't help in assisting that, because I can tell you, from my perspective, I had to search a lot harder at-times during the Sandy thread for some thoughts sifting through your 25 string posts.

Just a friendly suggestion.
ok i see your point and i understand, but i don't get them at the same time and i only post the ones i think are very very important... this thing of this storm is transforming in an hibrid like Sandy is friking me out!!!
Member Since: October 27, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2109
Joe Bastardi‏@BigJoeBastardi

Canadian drops pressure to 27.50 and sends center into se new england. Huge problem http://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/264841804 996825088/photo/1/large
Member Since: October 27, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2109
No please don't think I was trying to get you to leave, I'm thinking maybe for the good of the order you can batch them into one post, condensing them instead of one tweet per post?

It's certainly a good service to post them, especially to those who do not use twitter, but I can see where some people would get tired of seeing 45 consecutive posts of just 1 tweet at a shot, instead of say, 3 or 4 with a whole bunch of them? You see what I'm saying?

Like, I think we get 50 posts per page here, some info (especially during big storm threads) can find their way into interactive hell easily because of the volume of posts. Maybe if you batch some of these, it won't help in assisting that, because I can tell you, from my perspective, I had to search a lot harder at-times during the Sandy thread for some thoughts sifting through your 25 string posts.

Just a friendly suggestion.
Member Since: August 22, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 7
Quoting colortheworld:
I think we all understand the concept of twitter...
So do you think i shouldn't post tweets even if they are so important like this? If people don't want my posts i will go away!
Member Since: October 27, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2109
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
436 PM EDT SAT NOV 3 2012

ATTENTION TURNS TO UPSTREAM TROUGH CARVING OUT DEEP
TROUGH/CLOSED LOW OVER THE SOUTHEAST STATES TUESDAY. IT IS IMPORTANT
TO NOTE THAT THE ENERGY ASSOCIATED WITH LARGE STORM SYSTEM
IS CURRENTLY ENTERING BRITISH COLUMBIA.

MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW THE DEVELOPMENT OF A COASTAL
LOW FROM THE SOUTHERN STREAM...BUT THERE IS A SPLIT AMONG MODELS AS
TO WHETHER OR NOT IT PHASES WITH NORTHERN STREAM ENERGY.
TIMING...TRACK AND STRENGTH OF THE RESULTANT SURFACE LOW
THEREFORE DIFFER. STAYED FAIRLY CLOSE TO HPC GUIDANCE AGAIN TODAY.
WITH THE LOW PASSING JUST INSIDE THE 40N/70W BENCHMARK SOMETIME
LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN MEMBERS ARE CLUSTERED
NEAR THE BENCHMARK AS WELL.

WHAT ALL OF THIS MEANS FOR US IS A LIKELIHOOD OF RAIN...FOCUSED ON
WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE SE TWO-THIRDS OF THE
FORECAST AREA. THE THERMAL PROFILE COULD BE COLD ENOUGH FOR SOME
SNOW OR MIXED PRECIP AT THE ONSET AND END OF THE EVENT...BUT THE
TIMING OF THE PRECIP MAY PRECLUDE ANY WINTRY PRECIPITATION.

FORTUNATELY...ASTRONOMICAL TIDES WILL BE RELATIVELY LOW AS THE
AREA WILL BE NEARLY IN THE MIDPOINT BETWEEN FULL AND NEW MOONS.
TIMING...TRACK...AND STRENGTH OF THE LOW ARE UNCERTAIN...SO IT IS
DIFFICULT AT THIS POINT TO FORECAST WITH AT LEAST MODERATE
CONFIDENCE THE DEGREE OF COASTAL FLOODING...IF ANY AT ALL. SEVERE
BEACH EROSION RESULTED FROM SANDY AND THIS STORM COULD VERY WELL
EXACERBATE THE SITUATION AT THE IMMEDIATE COAST. THIS WILL
CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED. STRONG...GUSTY WINDS ARE BECOMING MORE
LIKELY. SUSTAINED SPEEDS RANGING BETWEEN 20-35 MPH WITH GUSTS
BETWEEN 45 TO 60 MPH IS A DEFINITE POSSIBILITY...BUT THIS WILL
DEPEND ON THE STRENGTH AND TRACK OF THE LOW. HIGHEST WINDS WILL BE
AT THE COAST AND IN HIGHER TERRAIN.

HAVE EXTENDED CHC/SCHC POPS INTO THU NIGHT TO ACCOUNT FOR TIMING
DIFFERENCES...THE ECMWF IS MUCH SLOWER MOVING. HIGH PRESSURE
SHOULD KEEP US DRY ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...BUT THIS MAY NEED TO
BE SHIFTED SLIGHTLY DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TRACK OF THE STORM.


Member Since: October 27, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2109
I think we all understand the concept of twitter...
Member Since: August 22, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 7

Joe Bastardi‏@BigJoeBastardi

I hope this is getting the attention I think it merits. As per earlier tweet, weatherbell forecast on this http://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/264837452 567543808/photo/1/large
Member Since: October 27, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2109

Joe Bastardi‏@BigJoeBastardi

Euro consistant with idea on east coast storm. Develops eye like feature in Jersey coastal waters Thur am http://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/264836854 711468032/photo/1/large
Member Since: October 27, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2109
Another hibrid storm comming!!! 12Z GFS is showing an asymmetric warm core just like Sandy.

It wont be as big as Sandy, but 980mb is impressive.


http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cyclonephase/gfs/fcst/arch ive/12110312/96.html
Member Since: October 27, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2109
12Z EURO http://sphotos-a.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-ash4/c133.0. 403.403/p403x403/404667_10151212437707367_12154488 39_n.jpg
Member Since: October 27, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2109
http://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi/status/2647592460 19756032/photo/1/large
Member Since: October 27, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2109
Quoting Luisport:

Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue

GFS total cloud-cover shows Nor'easter warm-seclusion w/low-level bent-back front wrapping around dry-center, eye-like pic.twitter.com/S4t6NjYk

12 minRyan Maue‏@RyanMaue

Each run makes this Nor'east look more ominous. Moisture fields suggest warm-core + eye-like feature typical w/intense extratrop. systems
Member Since: October 27, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2109

Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue

GFS total cloud-cover shows Nor'easter warm-seclusion w/low-level bent-back front wrapping around dry-center, eye-like pic.twitter.com/S4t6NjYk

12 minRyan Maue‏@RyanMaue

Each run makes this Nor'east look more ominous. Moisture fields suggest warm-core + eye-like feature typical w/intense extratrop. systems
Member Since: October 27, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2109
Power came back this morning, although 20% of the city (roughly 5000 of 26000 customers) is still out.

According to acquaintances, one of the two deaths attributable to the storm in Milford was essentially 'Suicide by Sandy.' It's unfortunate that the individual had to risk the lives of first responders to carry out the act.
Member Since: December 27, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 543
Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue

Upcoming Nor'easter will lead to very windy conditions THU/FRI due to gradient between 980 mb low & 1039 mb High http://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/264807443069034 497/photo/1/large
Member Since: October 27, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2109
Quoting PengSnow:


Some forecasters say that the storm will still drift a little further west 100 to 200 miles, Blizz any thoughts on this?


Correction i meant to say 100-200 miles east of the current track
Member Since: January 22, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 599
Quoting Blizzard92:
12z GGEM...


Some forecasters say that the storm will still drift a little further west 100 to 200 miles, Blizz any thoughts on this?
Member Since: January 22, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 599
12z GGEM...
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 288 Comments: 15247
First snowflakes of the year up here at Cornell today. A few lake effect bands moving through currently!!!
Member Since: December 14, 2007 Posts: 288 Comments: 15247
The 12z GFS at hour 108 looks like I'm looking at Sandy all over again (obviously this is not Sandy it's a nor'easter...I'm just saying looking at the model output it looks eerily similar in location):
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All above, well said. Hoy, I did see a report on channel 2 or 4, about the collapsed structure over the space shuttle. They had a view of it from a copter, but no mention of tail damage. This was shown on TV a couple of days ago. Maryland Girl, I would think twice about taking a flight to Maine on Thurs. morning, especially, as you said, you could do it at another time. Why tempt fate.
Member Since: January 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 8012
Who would ever expect to find the following in their local forecast?

207 PM EDT FRI NOV 2 2012

THE FOLLOWING MESSAGE IS TRANSMITTED AT THE REQUEST OF THE CENTERS
FOR DISEASE CONTROL AND PREVENTION (CDC):

IN THE WAKE OF SANDY...IT IS IMPORTANT FOR CITIZENS TO REMEMBER
THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE AND HEALTH AND THAT
OF YOUR FAMILY:

* DRINK CLEAN...SAFE WATER AND EAT SAFE...UNCONTAMINATED FOOD.

* KEEP GENERATORS OUTSIDE AT LEAST 25 FT FROM DOORS...WINDOWS AND
VENTS.

* DO NOT GRILL INSIDE YOUR HOME...THE FUMES CAN KILL.

* NEVER TOUCH A DOWNED POWER LINE OR ANYTHING TOUCHING ONE.

* USE 1 CUP OF BLEACH FOR EACH GALLON OF WATER TO REMOVE MOLD.

* NEVER MIX BLEACH AND AMMONIA...THE FUMES CAN KILL.

* WASHING YOUR HANDS PREVENTS ILLNESS.

* SEEK HELP IF HAVING TROUBLE COPING.

FOR MORE LIFE SAVING HEALTH RELATED INFORMATION CALL THE CDC AT
800-232-4636...TTY 888-232-6348. HTTP://EMERGENCY.CDC.GOV/DISASTERS/




And, of course, one we don't need to see at all:

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR A STRONG COASTAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TO
AFFECT OUR REGION AROUND THE WEDNESDAY TO THURSDAY TIME FRAME. THE
SYSTEM COULD PRODUCE STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS. THE TRACK OF THE
SYSTEM IS STILL UNCERTAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY ULTIMATELY BE NEEDED.
Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 134 Comments: 34217
Some photos uploaded from nearby towns of Oceanport (4 miles east) and Long Branch (7 miles east) give you a vague idea of what some of the inland damage is like.

http://ireport.cnn.com/docs/DOC-871413

Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 134 Comments: 34217
00z Euro and 06z GFS have a coastal storm inside benchmark without a phasing with the jet but both with decent high pressure blocks to the north/northeast. I noticed that the operational GFS has been running well west of its ensemble members. Same is to be said about the CMC whose operational is still east of benchmark with its ensembles farther east than that.

Here's a briefing by the NWS Mounta Holly office about the coastal threat for this coming week. This is from 1pm Friday.

Link
Member Since: June 11, 2011 Posts: 36 Comments: 677
Quoting Hoynieva:
Agreed about Bloomberg, P. I don't care for Christie's politics, but this storm showed that he cares about his people, has a kind heart and will do whatever it takes to get these people what they need. For Bloomberg to take this political is an outrage but not unexpected. He's a horrible person, only worried about how much money the city can make, which I think is why he waited so long to take this storm seriously and then, in the face an absolute disaster, decided not to cancel the Marathon. The guy is a legit fool. Public outrage wins, fortunately. Many people in Staten Island are still not getting the support they need...it's echoing some of the poorer areas of New Orleans post-Katrina. Hopefully now that it's been exposed the past day or so in media outlets, things will start turning around. This storm has certainly exposed the large divide between rich and poor in this city. A microcosm of the country.


Agreed. Christie is oft a buffoon but is handling the storm beautifully in my opinion. I don't understand Bloomburg with all this.

I do know that some places are completely cut off from communication and aid. Some of them don't realize the enormity of what happened and how difficult it is to provide proper assistance to the cutoff communities at this time.

I'm back in Hamilton NJ and there have been huge lines for the gas stations with fights breaking out. Some stations are running low on fuel and counties to our east are rationing the fuel.

Halloween for the kids has been moved to Monday night in NJ and moved to other dates in extreme eastern PA.

Damage was minimal by the time I got to Lancaster county.

A lot of trees were down even out on the Pocono Plateau where my parents mountain house lost power and the basement flooded.
Member Since: June 11, 2011 Posts: 36 Comments: 677
By the way, Most of southern Manhattan now has power restored. I've been down there a couple of times since the storm and it was a scene I never thought I'd see. Porta potties in all directions, tables set up with hundreds of surge plugs where people could charge their phones where lines went 50 deep, halal vendors being one of the few sources of food, 99% of shops dark and vacant, people milling about the streets in search of basic necessities. Military vehicles rolling up and down the streets, which seem otherworldly in a place like Manhattan.

On the way back up the West Side Highway I drove past the Intrepid Sea Air and Space Museum and noticed that the Space Shuttle's dome had collapsed atop it and the tail was damaged by the wind. Why this wasn't reported in the news is surprising, but maybe NASA didn't want to yet bring up the fact that it wasn't properly secured as there are way more important issues at the moment concerning life and death. Kind of a bad idea to put the shuttle on the end of an aircraft carrier in the Hudson river, just a stones throw from the Ocean, eh? I've since googled it and there are a couple pieces of info regarding the tail damage.

By the time I was back uptown I had to stop at a clients house at 57th street, which just happens to be the street with the most famous crane in the world, hanging flaccid high atop a skyscraper as hundreds of people stand on corners with their phones and cameras pointed to the sky. To see the business as usual North of Manhattan contrasted with the bleak and desperate Southern half is a stark reminder of how close one can be to devastation without really being affected by it. People complain about no subways and huge waits for ferries/taxis/buses, but we are the lucky ones. The fact that we are able to even go to work and make money is more than enough to be thankful for. While some people in New York City at this very moment are wishing they had food, water and heat , I'm eating breakfast in my warm home while typing on my computer, connected with the entire world on this magical thing called the internet. I urge anyone who has the ability to, to donate to the Red Cross or help others in any way they can during these trying times. You never know when you will be the one on the wrong end of a disaster.
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Agreed about Bloomberg, P. I don't care for Christie's politics, but this storm showed that he cares about his people, has a kind heart and will do whatever it takes to get these people what they need. For Bloomberg to take this political is an outrage but not unexpected. He's a greedy person, only worried about how much money the city can make, which I think is why he waited so long to take this storm seriously and then, in the face an absolute disaster, decided not to cancel the Marathon. The guy is a legit fool. Public outrage wins, fortunately. Many people in Staten Island are still not getting the support they need...it's echoing some of the poorer areas of New Orleans post-Katrina. Hopefully now that it's been exposed the past day or so in media outlets, things will start turning around. This storm has certainly exposed the large divide between rich and poor in this city. A microcosm of the country.
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Looking forward to all of it, Blizz!

Meanwhile, good for you putting first things first!!
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Good Morning, Tinton Falls NJ, 38F.

Power still holding. A couple of grocery stores opened up on generator power. Power slowly returning more and more areas...but will be a long agonizing wait for most.

Upon inspection the trees that stood...well, many are cracked or they are clearly leaning where one side of the root ball is lifted up some and the other depressed some.

I would fear that if we get a heavy soaking nor'easter, and 40-50mph winds, that many more trees will come down, and the electrical repairs will be set back a long way.

I have had the opportunity to reach a store that is membership only and therefore was very orderly and well stocked. So I stocked up all over again - to an insane level...just in case this next round of weather were to come about and cause more damage.

Such a fragile infrastructure - a 40mph gust would probably be akin to the 80mph gusts we had that caused the initial damage. So we must be prepared as if another Sandy is coming.


Speaking of the next storm, as many of you know, I do not like to forecast an event that does not yet exist. Sandy existed, the front existed, the hookup was possible but not known until later, and it happened. This system, despite model support, simply does not exist - so - I don't have an opinion on it.

I know when a model gets a storm right everyone jumps on it's next intent --- but --- you just cannot do that. Getting one storm right doesnt mean if found a way to become perfect. It didnt.


So, as things slowly return to normal, and a computer generated storm looms, I've gotten as prepared as possible and helped others best I could to do the same.

I can say it is nice to have a Governor who refuses to take "NO" or "Not at this time" as an answer - for anything. Louisiana's governor hid during Katrina. Ours is a governor of action.

Can't say the same for New Yorkers..Bloomberg/Cuomo waiting on Evacs and only doing so under extreme pressure, saying it was going to be like Irene, go to work Monday like usual, etc. I still am baffled at those two baffoons. Then watching Bloomberg use the storm and AGW as a reason to endorse Obama's reelection --- I mean, is this the time for that Mr. Mayor? Apparently...it is, and so were marathons, until public backlash forced you to do the right thing.

Amazing, really, the public has to do his job for him. Sad... could you imagine marathon runners throwing water on their faces running past destroyed Staten Island homes with dehydrated victims right there? Generators powering tents while homes stood dark and victims freeze in these 30 degree temps? Really? Wow.... I just don't know what to say.

But I know this isn't the place for all that, so I will end it here.

Member Since: September 26, 2011 Posts: 134 Comments: 34217
We are supposed to head to Maine mtns. next Thursday morning to close up camp. Leaving from BWI.... As I look at the EURO and read comments I am getting worried about this trip. Granted it is not something we must do right now. So....what are thoughts about flying out Thur. morning and landing in Portland, ME?

Most important......the people who are dealing with the extreme conditions on the coast have our prayers..
Thanks to this community for keeping people up to date with forecasts so we can be the best prepared for storms........I did get out early and get a great generator, with no problem, because we knew it was coming.
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0z GFS (w/ 1000-850mb Thickness)...
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18. bwi
18z GFS looks to my untrained eyes to be more in line with the Euro. Looks like another nasty day next Wednesday for Maryland.
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http://i.imgur.com/Z5ZjF.jpg Beautiful 949 hpa cyclone in the Gulf of Alaska. Classic marine cyclogenesis
Member Since: October 27, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2109
Final Report on rain for the south hills of Pittsburgh, PA a little over 5 1/2 inches since last Saturday, there were basically drops of rain in our area since last Friday even some very light rain this morning and now.

For the storm next week if I am reading the Euro right, is it going west and now slightly inland which will push the snow all the way into Eastern, OH and some heavy rain and looks like some very strong winds which will push surge. Never thought I would say this about a potential snowstorm, but for the sake of the folks on the east coast and in the mountains, please storm stay way out to sea,
Member Since: January 22, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 599
The latest models show a range of scenarios spanning from prolonged storm conditions in the mid-Atlantic to little effect anywhere.

* The European (EURO) model - which best handled Sandy - shows a strong low developing off the Georgia coast election night (November 6), moving north to near the Delmarva coast by Wednesday night, stalling for about 12 hours, before weakening and moving northeast to near Cape Cod by Thursday night. This is a very bad scenario for the Maryland and Delaware beaches up through southern New England as it would result in a prolonged period of onshore flow and coastal flooding. The EURO also pulls down enough cold air for some wet snow in elevated areas west and northwest of Washington D.C.

* The GFS model develops a low off the South Carolina coast election night bring some rain to mid-Atlantic coastal areas, but - rather than turning up the coast - pulls out to sea. This simulation would raise seas and probably cause minor coastal flooding and beach erosion, but would not be a big deal. Note: only a few of the 20 GFS ensemble members (the same model run with tweaks to the initial conditions) simulate stormy conditions along the East Coast


GFS ensemble members for Wednesday morning next week. Only a few simulate stormy conditions along the East Coast. (WeatherBell.com) * The Canadian model develops a low fairly far off the Mid-Atlantic coast election night, far enough offshore that there is no precipitation for coastal or inland areas. It doesn’t really get its act together until its east of Maine Wednesday night and would probably produce few impacts outside that state.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weath er-gang/post/noreaster-may-bring-sandy-stricken-ar eas-rain-coastal-flooding-next-week/2012/11/02/352 1eb44-251b-11e2-ac85-e669876c6a24_blog.html
Member Since: October 27, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2109
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather -gang/post/noreaster-may-bring-sandy-stricken-area s-rain-coastal-flooding-next-week/2012/11/02/3521e b44-251b-11e2-ac85-e669876c6a24_blog.html
Member Since: October 27, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2109
13. bwi
Ugh. We don't need any more rain.
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EURO model shows prolonged onshore flow, potential for coastal flooding in Sandy-stricken areas

http://twitter.com/capitalweather
Member Since: October 27, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2109
Henry
NO repeat of Sandy, but a strong storm that causes more problems in hard hit areas.


4 minRyan Maue‏@RyanMaue

@ryangalagher @Accu_Henry overnight temperatures are more important until that storm comes -- just look at front of Drudge Report
Member Since: October 27, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2109
Ryan Maue‏@RyanMaue

@kenr0966 we are talking about coastal effects -- if the storm track is 50-100 miles east, it misses. That's good skill for 5+ days out.

1 hRyan Maue‏@RyanMaue

GFS 12z cancelled East coast low/storm impacts next week. Well off-shore much weaker. Other guidance will come in soon.
Member Since: October 27, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2109
Joe Bastardi‏@BigJoeBastardi

Here we go again. GFS plays its flattening game, the ECMWF already looking much sharper through 96 hours
Member Since: October 27, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2109
Alot of trees and branches were weakened with Sandy,but didn't come down,this nor'easter may finish that job.
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 896 Comments: 16202
http://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/2644003290581647 36/photo/1/large
Member Since: October 27, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2109
...could easily bring unwelcome heavy rain and snow, strong winds, and of course, storm surge and coastal flooding from North Carolina all the way up to Maine -including New Jersey and New York... http://www.rsmas.miami.edu/blog/2012/11/01/potenti al-big-storm-for-northeast-u-s-next-week
Member Since: October 27, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2109
2 hRyan Maue‏@RyanMaue

ECMWF 00z 6-day forecast sets a 990 mb but very large wind-field Nor'easter off the Jersey shore Thursday. http://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/264256588221665 280/photo/1/large
Member Since: October 27, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2109
17 minBrian McNoldy‏@BMcNoldy

Still looks like a very significant Nor'easter for middle of next week. Severe coastal flooding, heavy snow & rain. http://twitter.com/BMcNoldy/status/264343761977487 360/photo/1/large
Member Since: October 27, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 2109
Morning,Blizz,looking forward to your thoughts on the upcoming nor'easter,if Sandy hadn't come through we probably would be all excited about this one,but this seems to be the run of the mill nor'easter with some wind and heavy rain and some snow.
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 896 Comments: 16202
Good morning Bliz. I just heard on the Today Show that the European models are showing another Northeastrly is possible next week. I see you have already got your hands on that. Your blog was great through Sandy and was very informative. Keep up the good work.
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The Northeast Weather Blog...

About Blizzard92

Ph.D. Student - Earth System Science (UC Irvine), B.Sc. - Atmospheric Sciences (Cornell University)

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