Ph.D. Student - Earth System Science (UC Irvine), B.Sc. - Atmospheric Sciences (Cornell University)
By: Zachary Labe , 8:47 PM GMT on January 10, 2008
Thoughts on January 14th storm...
Good Afternoon! Well this current storm is a dud for many areas of Pennsylvania. I like my snow map, but I highly doubt now that southern pennsylvania sees any snow accumulation. Also I do not think that New England sees a much snow as was forecast. But let us all keep our hope up for the next storm on Thursday.
Also I know I have talked much about the western part of Pennsylvania, because of the coastal storm. So with the clipper coming through do not be surprised to see c-3inches of snow all the way as far east as harrisburg.
This blog is also for anybody's opinion or forecast for this storm. Also if anyone has any questions, I will be happy to answer them. I will continue to update this blog for this event as it grows closer. Have a great day!
This is my current rain/snow line...
Washington, DC to Wilmington, DE to Philadelphia, PA to Trenton, NJ to New York City, New York.
-Anybody to 30miles either side of the line will see a mix. Furthur north than that and you will see snow and furthur south you will see all rain. Also I do not think the coastlines will see much snow. Maybe just a few inches.
1. 8hr storm at most locations
2. snow bands may set up inland with high snow rates
3. high winds in areas of Maine and Cape Cod, MA
4. not too large area of sleet or frz rain
5. Wet snow that may cause power outages
Final Snow Map...
The red line is where the mix/snow line might end up. Anybody northwest of that line should be all snow.
"Subject to Change"
Selected City Accumulations for the Northeast...
Hagerstown, MD- C-2inches
Baltimore, MD- C-2inches
Washington, DC- C-1inch
Wilmington, DE- C-2inches
Dover, DE- C-1inch
Cape May, NJ- Coating
Trenton, NJ- 2-4inches
New York City, NY- 2-5inches
Poughkeepsie, NY- 4-7inches
Binghamton, NY- 3-7inches
Albany, NY- 2-4inches
Hartford, CT- 5-9inches
Concord, NH- 4-8inches
Providence, RI- 4-6inches
Worcester, MA- 5-10inches, locally 12inches
Boston, MA- 5-8inches, locally 10inches
Nantucket, MA- C-2inches
Portland, ME- 4-8inches
Bangor, ME- 4-8inches
"Subject to Change"
Well the models shifted east and more compact with the precipitation. Overall I think this was pretty poor forecasting from almost everyone. I blame the models though, lol, as they have been back and forth with this storm for weeks. I do not think we will see many 12inch amounts like currently forecasted. Alot of people, especially on other blogs did alot of wishcasting that created this big hype about this small coastal storm. We are all snow starved. Lets up we see some good snow soon, widespread.
More updates are coming all the time so stay tuned...
Have a great evening!!!
Here is the 18z GFS...
Here is the 18z GFS precipitation amounts...
Here is the 18z NAM...
After the storm...
The next storm I am going to forecast is the possible coastal storm for Thursday. I plan on doing a better job forecasting that storm than I did this storm. This is all a learning experience. Sometimes the weather pulls tricks of its own, that forecasters cannot see.
Please post storm reports in this blog from across the Northeast during the coastal storm...
This blog is in progress. Check back soon...
The views of the author are his/her own and do not necessarily represent the position of The Weather Company or its parent, IBM.