AllyBama's WunderBlog

WEEKEND!!!

By: AllyBama, 3:39 AM GMT on August 24, 2009

Yeah for the weekend!..lol..it was so nice to sleep in again and just relax this morning..work has been brutal this week and I am definitely in need of some R&R before Monday. Here's wishing all of you a most blessed and glorious Sunday..





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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
328 AM CDT SUN AUG 30 2009


.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)AS A SHORTWAVE OVER THE LOWER
MISS RIVER VALLEY MOVES NORTHEAST ALONG A FRONT STRETCHING FROM NEAR
THE BIG BEND OF THE RIO GRAND NE OVER THE MS DELTA...THEN ALONG THE
WEST SIDE OF THE APPALACHIANS...SHRA AND TSRA ARE AGAIN EXPECTED
TODAY INTO TONIGHT. BEST CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL BE OVER THE
NORTHWESTERN THIRD OF THE FA. AS THE SHORTWAVE MOVED NORTHEAST OF
THE FA TONIGHT...THE SURFACE FRONT WILL MOVE OVER THE FA TONIGHT.
HAVE UNDERCUT MOS TEMPS NORTHWEST A BIT...WITH THE EXPECTED LOSS OF
INSOLATION AND COOLING BY THE RAIN WILL KEEP TEMPS ON THE COOL SIDE.
WHERE THE EDGE OF THIS COOLER AREA WILL BE IS EXPECTED TO BE
NORTHWEST OF THE I-65 CORRIDOR OVER THE FA.

THIS AFTERNOON`S WET MICROBURST RISK IS MODERATE.

MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...A COOL FRONT SHOULD BE MOVING EAST OF
INTERSTATE 65 BY SUNRISE MONDAY. LOW PRESSURE WAVES MOVING
NORTHEAST ALONG THE FRONT ARE EXPECTED TO SLOW ITS MOVEMENT ANS IT
WILL LIKELY TAKE THE REST OF MONDAY FOR THE FRONT TO MOVE EAST OF
DESTIN. WILL HAVE 20 PERCENT POPS FROM THE ALABAMA/MISSISSIPPI
BORDER TO 40 PERCENT OVER THE EASTERN ZONES FOR MONDAY DUE TO THE
EXPECTED SLOWER MOVEMENT...LEAVING A LOW POP EAST OF INTERSTATE 65
FOR MONDAY EVENING. WITH THE SLOWER PROGRESSION OF THE FRONT AND A
WEAK SUB-TROPICAL JET EXPECTED TO SEND CIRRUS ACROSS THE AREA THE
FIRST OF THE WEEK...HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE MAINLY IN THE MID 80S.
THE FORECAST OVER NIGHT LOWS HAVE BEEN CREEPING UP WITH THE DELAYED
DEPARTURE OF CLOUDS AND MOISTURE AND ARE NOW IN THE MID AND UPPER
60S. HIGHER PWATS OVER THE EASTERN SECTIONS...THANKS TO THE STALLING
FRONT HAS LED TO A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS IN THE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON FORECAST OVER THE EASTERN HALF. /11

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...WOULD HAVE LIKED TO
REMOVE CHANCE OF RAIN FROM WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY BUT WITH ANOTHER
MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING TO THE REGION AND A WEAK SURFACE LOW
DEVELOPING ON THE STALLED FRONT ALONG WITH THE HIGHER MOISTURE
CONTENT OVER THE EASTERN SECTIONS...FELT IT PRUDENT TO KEEP AT LEAST
LOW POPS OVER THE EASTERN SECTIONS FOR AT LEAST THE AFTERNOONS. 20
TO 30 PERCENT POPS ACROSS THE BOARD ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS THE H5
FLOW BECOMES NEAR ZONAL. A FEW RIPPLES MOVING THROUGH THE FLOW WILL
MAKE IT DIFFICULT TO PIN DOWN TIMING...ESPECIALLY THIS FAR OUT BUT
WILL EXPECT SOME CONVECTION AT LEAST IN THE AFTERNOONS WITH THE
TEMPERATURES REACHING TO AROUND 90. /11



.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF
RAIN 70 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE EVENING. PATCHY DENSE FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF
RAIN 20 PERCENT.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING BECOMING PARTLY
CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN 20 PERCENT.

Updated: 4:24 PM GMT on August 30, 2009

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Watching the N.E. coast

By: AllyBama, 12:19 PM GMT on August 20, 2009

This Mother Hen is keeping a watchful eye on the N.E. Coast..she don't like it when Mother Nature plays around with her peeps!..so, BACK OFF BILL!..lol
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Updated: 1:04 AM GMT on August 21, 2009

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Claudette 5PM bulletin

By: AllyBama, 7:17 PM GMT on August 16, 2009

000
WTNT34 KNHC 162032
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042009
500 PM EDT SUN AUG 16 2009

...CLAUDETTE APPROACHING THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA
BORDER EASTWARD TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER FLORIDA. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA
OUTSIDE OF THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CLAUDETTE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.6 WEST OR ABOUT
40 MILES... 60 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT
120 MILES...190 KM...SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA.

CLAUDETTE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR.
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS EVENING...AND ON THIS
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL MOVE ONSHORE IN THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE LATER TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING
PRIOR TO LANDFALL. A MARINE TOWER...STATION SGOF1...LOCATED ABOUT
25 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF APALACHICOLA RECENTLY REPORTED A
10-MINUTE SUSTAINED WIND OF 51 MPH...82 KM/HR.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...THE
BIG BEND REGION OF FLORIDA...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ALABAMA...AND
EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN GEORGIA.

STORM TIDE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE MAXIMUM WATER LEVELS OF 3 TO 5
FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE...
INCLUDING THE BIG BEND.

...SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT INFORMATION...
LOCATION...29.5N 85.6W
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 14 MPH
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN/ROBERTS


000
WTNT42 KNHC 162042
TCDAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA DISCUSSION NUMBER 19
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022009
500 PM AST SUN AUG 16 2009

AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING ANA DID NOT
FIND ANY WINDS TO SUPPORT TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY. IN FACT...ALL
OF THE STRONG WINDS WERE WELL NORTH OF THE PRESSURE MINIMUM IN THE
EASTERLY TRADE WIND FLOW. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 30 KT FOR
THIS PACKAGE. THE AIRCRAFT ALSO STRUGGLED TO CLOSE OFF A
WELL-DEFINED CENTER...HOWEVER...WE WILL CONTINUE ADVISORIES FOR NOW
SINCE THE AIRCRAFT WILL STILL BE IN THE SYSTEM UNTIL 0000 UTC. IF
A WELL-DEFINED CENTER CANNOT BE FOUND AT THAT TIME...ADVISORIES MAY
BE DISCONTINUED.

ANA CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD VERY QUICKLY...ALONG A HEADING OF
280/20. THIS QUICK MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST. THE
OFFICIAL FORECAST IS VERY CLOSE TO THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE...EXCEPT A
LITTLE FASTER TO ACCOUNT FOR THE QUICK INITIAL MOTION.

THE INTENSITY FORECAST SHOWS LITTLE CHANGE...WITH A POSSIBILITY FOR
SLIGHT STRENGTHENING PRIOR TO THE CYCLONE REACHING HISPANIOLA. AFTER
THAT TIME...THE INTENSITY IS HELD AT 30 KT GIVEN THE POTENTIAL FOR
LAND INTERACTION WITH HISPANIOLA AND CUBA.

TROPICAL STORM WATCHES ARE CONTINUED...GIVEN THAT THE CYCLONE IS NOT
FAR BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH AND APPROACHING THE ISLANDS SOON.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 16/2100Z 15.1N 58.8W 30 KT
12HR VT 17/0600Z 15.7N 62.0W 30 KT
24HR VT 17/1800Z 16.7N 66.1W 30 KT
36HR VT 18/0600Z 17.8N 70.0W 35 KT
48HR VT 18/1800Z 18.8N 73.6W 30 KT
72HR VT 19/1800Z 21.5N 80.0W 30 KT
96HR VT 20/1800Z 23.5N 84.5W 30 KT
120HR VT 21/1800Z 25.0N 87.0W 30 KT


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Updated: 9:46 PM GMT on August 16, 2009

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Happy Birthday OGAL!

By: AllyBama, 1:22 PM GMT on August 01, 2009

Woohoo!..I survived Monday - today!..I am sooo ready for this weekend..I hate my first week back to work after having been on vacation - UGH!

Carolinagal, Miss Hannah and Allybama

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Updated: 2:41 PM GMT on August 09, 2009

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I am an old lady who lives in a shoe, white hair, blue eyes and all of five foot two.

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