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National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1014 AM CDT TUE AUG 30 2016

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure remained in place over the Southern Plains this
morning with mostly clear and light wind conditions over Eastern
Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas. To the west and north of the
CWA...scattered showers along with a few thunderstorms were
ongoing this morning in relation to a surface boundary located
from Southwest Oklahoma into Eastern Kansas.

Through this afternoon...the surface boundary is expected to
slide southeast approaching the CWA and into Northeast Oklahoma
this evening. This boundary approaching a higher theta-e zone over
far Northeast Oklahoma will allow for a slightly higher precip
chance over this area. Across Southeast Oklahoma and Northwest
Arkansas...daytime heating over higher terrain locations will
also keep a slight chance for hit and miss showers and
thunderstorms into this evening. Gusty winds and locally heavy
rainfall could be possible within any thunderstorm development.

Current forecast package seems to be on track this morning as
afternoon temperatures in the low to mid 90s and areas of
scattered to broken mid clouds are forecast for the CWA. Morning
update will be to only add minor tweaks to hourly
temp/dewpoint/sky/pop/wind grids based on current trends and
observations.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   94  72  89  70 /  20  20  50  30 
FSM   94  73  93  73 /  20  10  30  20 
MLC   94  71  93  71 /  20  10  30  30 
BVO   92  70  87  67 /  30  30  50  20 
FYV   90  69  86  68 /  20  20  50  20 
BYV   90  69  85  67 /  20  20  50  20 
MKO   94  71  91  70 /  20  20  40  20 
MIO   92  70  87  67 /  30  30  50  20 
F10   94  71  91  70 /  20  20  40  30 
HHW   93  73  94  73 /  20  10  30  30 

&&

.TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM....06

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