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fxus64 ktsa 231054 
afdtsa

Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
554 am CDT Sat Sep 23 2017

Aviation...
concerning taf sites ktul/krvs/kbvo/kmlc/kxna/kfyv/kfsm/krog.
MVFR to occasional IFR visibility has developed at kfyv and will
likely persist for an hour or two after issuance time. Otherwise
VFR conditions will prevail through the forecast period.

&&

Previous discussion... /issued 345 am CDT Sat Sep 23 2017/

Discussion...
unseasonably warm temps to continue through Monday. Forecast
trends remain largely on track with current longwave trough over
the western U.S. Making slow progress eastward over the first part
of next week. This process will aid a cold front passing through
the forecast area Monday night through Tuesday. While an isolated
shower may develop as early as Sunday afternoon the more defined
precip chances will accompany the frontal passage. The strongest
forcing with the passing wave looks to lift quickly north of the
region leaving meager lapse rates atop the frontal zone. This
pattern does not Bode well for precip chances as the front pushes
southeastward and overall precip amounts across the entire forecast
area continue to trend lighter. The more noticeable change will
be the return to seasonal temps from mid week through next
weekend.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
tul 92 71 90 69 / 0 0 10 10
fsm 93 70 92 69 / 0 0 10 10
mlc 91 71 90 69 / 0 0 10 0
bvo 92 66 91 66 / 0 0 10 10
fyv 88 66 87 64 / 10 0 10 10
byv 90 66 88 65 / 10 0 10 10
mko 91 70 90 68 / 0 0 10 10
Mio 91 69 89 68 / 0 0 10 10
f10 91 70 90 68 / 0 0 10 0
hhw 92 70 91 69 / 0 0 10 0

&&

Tsa watches/warnings/advisories...
OK...none.
Arkansas...none.
&&

$$

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