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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
247 am CDT Tuesday Jul 26 2016

Discussion...

Very messy and overall low confidence forecast for the next
several days. Moist and weakly capped airmass over the region will
allow for random thunderstorm development over the next few days,
along with the usual development near boundaries laid out from
previous convection, all of which are nearly impossible to predict
with any precision in advance. Have leaned toward The Middle
Ground for the pop forecast. The Silver lining in all of this is
that temps will be relatively cooler and some areas will pick up
rainfall, some locally heavy. Still looks like a northwest flow setup for
the latter part of the week and into the weekend. Mesoscale convective system activity is
possible near a frontal boundary, mainly across the northern
areas.

Mid level heights rise over The Heart of the country next week,
suggesting that the proverbial faucet will shut off again, for
now. A return to hot and dry typical Summer weather is expected.

Lacy

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
tul 89 74 90 75 / 50 30 50 40
fsm 93 76 92 76 / 50 30 50 40
mlc 93 73 92 73 / 50 30 50 40
bvo 88 70 90 70 / 50 30 40 40
fyv 89 70 88 70 / 50 30 50 40
byv 88 72 88 70 / 50 30 50 40
mko 91 74 91 73 / 50 30 50 40
Mio 89 71 91 72 / 50 30 40 40
f10 91 74 91 73 / 50 30 50 40
hhw 95 75 95 74 / 40 30 50 40

&&

Tsa watches/warnings/advisories...
OK...none.
Arkansas...none.
&&

$$

Long term....30

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