Scientific Forecaster Discussion
fxus62 ktbw 262341
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin Florida
741 PM EDT Mon Jun 26 2017
..evening forecast update...
Gulf Coast sea breeze front curved from Chiefland to the villages
then down to Brandon with isolated showers and storms. Heavy rain
was found near Chiefland with 2 to 4 inches and a flood advisory. An
old outflow boundary created scattered showers and storms from Cape
Coral to north of Okeechobee. Most convection to end by 02z but left
20 percent chance in Chiefland and Fort Myers areas.
00z tafs: left over sea breeze and outflow boundaries from previous
convection will mean thunderstorms in the vicinity/vcsh until 02z at all terminals except pie
and srq. Some models hinting at bkn020 later tonight but confidence
is low so left area VFR. Weak high pressure with Gulf Coast sea
breeze front moving inland Tuesday. Best chance of rain after 19z
east of coastal terminals.
high pressure will remain fixed over the waters through
this week and into the weekend, maintaining light winds and
favorable seas. The seabreeze will turn winds onshore each
afternoon near the coast. The only marine hazard will be
widely scattered marine thunderstorms, which may locally
enhance winds and seas, and produce heavy rainfall and
with abundant moisture in place and daily rain chances,
humidities will remain well above critical levels.
Therefore, no fire weather concerns are expected over the