Scientific Forecaster Discussion
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin Florida
935 am EDT Wed Oct 26 2016
surface high pressure building down the eastern Seaboard will
support a breezy northeast to east wind flow over the region
the remainder of today as the gradient slowly tightens. Dry
stable conditions under the high will support a very pleasant
dry day across the forecast area with just some intervals of
cu/strato-cu clouds expected during the afternoon as shallow
Atlantic moisture advects into the region on the northeast to
easterly wind flow with temperature climbing into the lower to
mid 80s. Ongoing forecast is in good shape with no morning update
required at this time.
VFR is expected with just some scattered cu/strato-cu clouds
in the 4-5kft range expected. Northeast to east winds at 6 to
8 knots this morning will increase to 12 to 15 knots with gusts
up to 24 knots after 15z.
a tightening pressure gradient associated with high pressure
building down the eastern Seaboard will maintain cautionary
conditions over the northern waters and low end small craft
across the central and southern waters through Friday. Current
forecast is on track with no changes expected in the next forecast
issuance around 10 am.
Florida...Beach hazards statement through Thursday evening for
Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory until 8 am EDT Friday for coastal
waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood Florida out 20 nm-
coastal waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs Florida
out 20 nm-waters from Bonita Beach to Englewood Florida
out 20 to 60 nm-waters from Englewood to Tarpon
Springs Florida out 20 to 60 nm.