Scientific Forecaster Discussion
fxus64 ksjt 221121
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo Texas
621 am CDT sun Jul 22 2018
VFR flying conditions will prevail the next 24 hours across all
west central Texas airports. Light winds from the south and mostly
sunny skies are expected, with the exception of a few high clouds
above twenty thousand feet. Hot daytime temperatures in the 105
to 108 degree range are expected...this will result in longer
take-offs than normal as high temperatures are expected to be 10
to 15 degrees above normal.
Previous discussion... /issued 336 am CDT sun Jul 22 2018/
(today and tonight)
.Dangerous heat continues....
An excessive heat warning is in effect for west central Texas on
Sunday. Hot and dry conditions are associated with a strong mid and
upper atmospheric area of high pressure and sinking air. Highs will
range from 105 to 109 degrees.
Daily record highs on July 22 for Abilene and San Angelo are 106 and
105 degrees, respectively. Both values may be exceeded this
One more day of dangerous heat is in store across west central Texas
for Monday. The excessive heat warning will continue through 00z
Tuesday as highs will range from 105 to 109 across the area.
(Monday night through saturday)
The strong high pressure ridge currently parked over Texas will
shift west to the western Continental U.S. By mid to late week. As a result,
upper level northerly flow will develop across our area and a cool
front will move through Monday night and Tuesday. These changes
will cool the temperatures down and end the extreme heat levels.
Highs from Tuesday through Saturday will be mainly in the upper
90s to around 100. Going with mainly a dry forecast. A few showers
and thunderstorms are possible Monday night and Tuesday due to
the cool front.
Preliminary point temps/pops...
Abilene 106 78 105 76 / 0 0 0 20
San Angelo 109 76 109 78 / 0 0 0 10
Junction 106 75 109 77 / 0 0 0 10
Brownwood 106 78 107 76 / 0 0 0 20
Sweetwater 106 79 106 75 / 0 0 0 20
Ozona 106 76 107 76 / 0 0 0 5
excessive heat warning until 8 PM CDT Monday for Brown-Callahan-