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000 
FXUS64 KSJT 251108
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
608 AM CDT Sun Jun 25 2017

.AVIATION...
/12Z TAFS/

Stratus will result in MVFR ceilings at all sites this morning,
with VFR conditions returning by mid to late morning. Light and
variable winds will become east at 8 to 12 knots by late morning.
Isolated showers and thunderstorms will be possible today and
tonight, but coverage should remain low enough to preclude a
mention in the current TAF package. 

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 352 AM CDT Sun Jun 25 2017/ 

SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

An upper level ridge will remain centered over the Desert Southwest 
today and tonight, keeping West Central Texas in northwest flow 
aloft. Isolated to scattered, mainly diurnally driven, showers and 
thunderstorms are possible this afternoon, although most locations 
are forecast to remain dry. Additional showers and thunderstorms may 
develop across eastern New Mexico and the Texas Panahandle late this 
afternoon and evening , but the bulk of this convection if forecast 
to remain north and west of the forecast area. PoPs were reduced to 
20-30 percent, as the best rain chances remain to our north and west 
today and tonight. Highs today will remain below seasonal normals, 
in the mid to upper 80s. Overnight lows will mainly be in the upper 
60s.

LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)

Northwest flow continues Monday and Tuesday across West Central
Texas, with models still suggesting a few weak embedded shortwaves
to move across the area. This will help produce scattered showers
and storms across the area, although without much of a surface
boundary to focus convection, coverage looks like it will remain a
little limited. Upper level pattern begins to flatten out across
the area for the remainder of the week and will take the chance
for rainfall with it. Weak upper level ridge builds into the area
for the weekend so dry conditions will continue.

Temperatures will remain a few degrees below normal to start the
week off, with highs in the upper 80s and lower 90s. As the dry
conditions return, temperatures will inch up into the mid and
upper 90s for the rest of the forecast.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  83  68  85  67 /  20  20  40  30 
San Angelo  88  69  88  69 /  20  20  40  30 
Junction  87  69  86  69 /  30  20  40  30 
Brownwood  84  68  84  68 /  20  20  30  30 
Sweetwater  83  67  84  67 /  30  20  40  30 
Ozona       87  69  88  68 /  20  10  40  30 

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

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