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fxus64 kshv 280243 
afdshv

Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport la
943 PM CDT Sat may 27 2017

Discussion...
surface low across Red River valley extending into eastern
Oklahoma generating severe thunderstorms across much of central
and eastern Oklahoma. Hrrr model suggests bulk of the convection
to remain out of the arklatex through 3 am before a cold front
slides south across the I-30 corridor. As convection moves south
with the front, atmosphere becomes less conducive to maintain
severe thunderstorms as noted by an enhanced risk across McCurtain
County and a slight risk across much of northeast Texas and
southern Arkansas. Current forecast is on track, no updates at
this time. /05/

&&

Previous discussion... /issued 733 PM CDT Sat may 27 2017/

Aviation...
for the arklatex, VFR with a touch of haze until sunset. Winds are
S 5-15kt and will become SW for Sunday. Aloft we are SW 15-35kts.
MVFR stratus will meet convection from the north before daybreak with
a cold front moving in our direction bringing early widespread
shwrs/tstms from 09-13z. The cold front will move closer but not
through until Sunday night. So expect more dvlpmt of tstms for the
p.M. Hrs. Fropa will shift surface winds and not much else early
Monday. The boundary will slowly lift back north into midweek./24/



&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
shv 75 87 69 81 / 30 40 60 40
mlu 74 89 70 81 / 20 30 60 60
deq 72 82 61 85 / 80 40 40 10
txk 73 83 65 83 / 60 40 60 20
eld 74 84 65 81 / 50 40 60 40
tyr 75 86 68 82 / 40 40 60 30
ggg 75 85 68 81 / 30 40 60 30
lfk 77 91 72 81 / 10 30 70 60

&&

Shv watches/warnings/advisories...
Arkansas...none.
La...none.
OK...none.
Texas...none.
&&

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