Scientific Forecaster Discussion
fxus63 ksgf 240809
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
309 am CDT Sat Jun 24 2017
Short term...(today and tonight)
A dry Continental airmass was spreading across extreme southeast
Kansas and the Missouri Ozarks. Temperatures this morning cooled
into the upper 50s and lower 60s. This Canadian airmass will
deepen today keeping temperatures around 80 degrees. Mostly sunny
skies are expected along with light north breezes.
A comfortable night is on tap with lows in the upper 50s and lower
Long term...(sunday through friday)
By Sunday, moisture advection will ramp up across the Central
Plains. A warm front will become established across Kansas,
becoming a trigger for showers and thunderstorms. Models have this
activity shifting into portions of the Ozarks late Sunday night
into Monday. Due to the lack of instability, severe storms are not
expected Monday through Monday night.
Temperatures will warm back into the middle and upper 80s by
Wednesday and Thursday. Southerly winds combined with full
sunshine will boost temperatures and humidity.
Weak southwest flow aloft will offer a series of weak disturbances
next weekend. This pattern has the potential to create unsettled
conditions over the 4th of July weekend.
Aviation...(for the 06z tafs through 06z Saturday night)
issued at 1133 PM CDT Fri Jun 23 2017
VFR conditions will continue through Saturday evening with light