Scientific Forecaster Discussion

Return to Local Conditions & Forecast

Without Abbreviations
With Abbreviations

fxus64 koun 191147 
afdoun

Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
547 am CST sun Nov 19 2017

Aviation...
tafs 1912/2012...

VFR conditions will prevail over the next 24 hours.

&&

Previous discussion... /issued 242 am CST sun Nov 19 2017/

Discussion...

Very little change to previous forecast.

A light northwest wind, will gradually become southwest later
this morning and afternoon. The wind will be breezy at times
across far western Oklahoma, which will result in slightly
elevated fire weather conditions during the afternoon.

A breezy south and southwest wind can be expected on Monday ahead
of a weak cold front. Although surface moisture will increase
slightly, warmer temperatures will result in low afternoon humidity
and elevated fire weather conditions.

The flow across the United States will amplify Tuesday into
Wednesday, as a trough moves across the upper Midwest and Great
Lakes. As this occurs, cooler air will move into the Southern
Plains behind a cold front. The bulk of the deeper, colder air
with this front will remain well north and east of Oklahoma and
North Texas.

A southerly wind will return by late Wednesday into Thursday. This
will start another warming trend that will last through Friday.
Rather breezy winds are expected on Friday as another cold front
approaches the area. This will likely elevated fire weather
conditions for at least western Oklahoma.

Another cold front early next weekend will bring a north wind and
near average temperatures. Unfortunately, the outlook for
meaningful precipitation will remain very low.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Oklahoma City OK 59 37 62 42 / 0 0 0 0
Hobart OK 60 35 63 39 / 0 0 0 0
Wichita Falls Texas 61 38 65 42 / 0 0 0 0
gage OK 61 34 65 39 / 0 0 0 0
Ponca City OK 59 38 63 40 / 0 0 0 0
Durant OK 61 39 63 44 / 0 0 0 0

&&

Oun watches/warnings/advisories...
OK...none.
Texas...none.

National Weather Service Glossary of Abbreviations