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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Norman OK
322 am CDT sun Jul 31 2016

all is quiet right now across OK and western North Texas. Further
north, however, a complex of storms is beginning to organize
across northern Kansas with some additional activity trying to work
its way into southeast Kansas. This is being supported by a mid level
shortwave trough. Later this morning, expect a few showers and
storms to develop with the approaching shortwave trough near
northern/NE OK. Later today, DPVA associated with this wave will
impact central and southern OK likely resulting in some widely
scattered storms developing. It appears the best environment
(lowest cin combined with highest cape) ahead of the wave will
develop just southeast of okc so this is where the diurnal activity is

By tomorrow, precip chances will likely come to an end for most of
the forecast area as mid level heights start to increase. Did leave some low
chance pops in for extreme northwest OK tomorrow night, however, as a
fairly Stout low level jet will nose into richest mid level moisture across
this region. This trend may continue across portions of western
and northwestern OK through the week on the northwestern
periphery of the ridge axis. Temperatures will continue to
increase this week under the ridge and come close to reaching heat
advisory criteria each day, especially late this week along and
east of i35 where dewpoints may remain in the mid to upper 60s if
not higher. In addition, the GFS dewpoints appear too low given
recent rainfall so this should be kept in mind.


Preliminary point temps/pops...
Oklahoma City OK 96 75 97 74 / 10 0 10 0
Hobart OK 98 76 99 75 / 10 0 10 0
Wichita Falls Texas 99 76 100 76 / 10 0 10 0
gage OK 97 74 98 72 / 10 0 10 20
Ponca City OK 96 76 98 76 / 10 0 10 0
Durant OK 97 76 98 75 / 20 0 0 0


Oun watches/warnings/advisories...



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