Scientific Forecaster Discussion

Return to Local Conditions & Forecast

Without Abbreviations
With Abbreviations

Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Norman OK
310 am CDT Sat Jul 23 2016

another hot day on tap across Oklahoma and western North
Texas. Although we continue to slowly bake out the low level
moisture, still expect to see afternoon heat indices rise near or
slightly above 105 degrees with actual air temps only a few
degrees below these readings. This will occur again on Sunday
across much of the same area. Will go ahead and extend the heat
advisory through the day Sunday.

Will see a surface front approach northern Oklahoma late Sunday.
This will bring a chance of rain to northwest Oklahoma. Another
area to watch will be across parts of southeast into south central
Oklahoma beginning late Sunday night into Monday and Tuesday. A
small upper level low will move westward across the area, perhaps
bringing a chance of rain to that part of the state.

Otherwise, models continue to show the upper ridge weakening
as several shortwave troughs move through the central and
northern parts of the country. As these waves move east they will
push surface fronts southward toward the Southern Plains. This
will provide some opportunities for precip across parts of the
area. Slightly better chance may occur by the second half of the
upcoming week as European model (ecmwf) develops better mid-level flow farther


Preliminary point temps/pops...
Oklahoma City OK 101 77 100 77 / 0 0 0 10
Hobart OK 103 76 103 77 / 0 0 0 0
Wichita Falls Texas 103 78 102 78 / 0 0 0 0
gage OK 102 75 102 75 / 0 0 10 20
Ponca City OK 102 78 101 78 / 0 0 0 20
Durant OK 101 79 99 78 / 10 0 20 10


Oun watches/warnings/advisories...
OK...heat advisory until 8 PM CDT Sunday for okz005>008-011>013-




National Weather Service Glossary of Abbreviations