Scientific Forecaster Discussion

Return to Local Conditions & Forecast

Without Abbreviations
With Abbreviations

fxus63 koax 291950 

Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/valley NE
250 PM CDT Mon may 29 2017

Short term...(tonight through thursday)
issued at 250 PM CDT Mon may 29 2017

Area remains on southwest edge of broad cyclonic flow associated
with closed low over Ontario this afternoon. This pattern is
expected to continue through Tuesday night before return flow and
upper ridging work back into the region on Wednesday and Thursday.

Weak warm advection develops over western Kansas tonight with
small chance of showers brushing far southeast Nebraska by Tuesday
morning as zone moves east overnight. Stronger and more extensive
warm advection zone develops over eastern Nebraska and western
Iowa Wednesday night with widespread thunderstorms likely
into Thursday morning. Temperatures also turn warmer by Thursday
as ridging expands over the region.

Long term...(thursday night through monday)
issued at 250 PM CDT Mon may 29 2017

First part of the period through Saturday looks somewhat unsettled
although operational models still have poor agreement with
regards to upper flow pattern. Forecast trends used generally
follow 12z European model (ecmwf) with dry weather following a northern plains
trough for Sunday and Monday.


Aviation...(for the 18z tafs through 18z Tuesday afternoon)
issued at 122 PM CDT Mon may 29 2017

VFR conditions are forecast through 18z on Tuesday.


Oax watches/warnings/advisories...


National Weather Service Glossary of Abbreviations