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Area forecast discussion...updated 
National Weather Service Mobile Alabama
659 am CDT Friday Jul 29 2016

Discussion...updated for latest aviation discussion below.


12z issuance...VFR conditions will prevail this morning. Thunderstorms in the vicinity will
develop by late morning with brief period of IFR/MVFR conditions in
and around scattered showers and thunderstorms. /13


Previous discussion... /issued 417 am CDT Friday Jul 29 2016/

Near term /now through Friday night/...the central Gulf Coast remains
on the western side of a deep layer ridge from the western Atlantic
across the northern Gulf. Increasing deep layer moisture along with
an approaching weak upper shortwave just to our west will lead to
slightly better chances of afternoon showers and thunderstorms.
Outside of any relief from rain...temps will remain hot with highs in
the low to mid 90s inland to upper 80s along the coast. The coverage
of showers and thunderstorms will rapidly decrease this evening with
only isolated showers and storms persisting into the evening. Lows
tonight will fall into the low to mid 70s inland to around 80s along
the coast. 13/jc

Short term /Saturday through Sunday night/...not a lot of change
through the short term period with the forecast area remaining on the
western side of a persistent deep layer ridge. Moist south to
southwest flow will continue...keeping conditions warm/hot and muggy.
Diurnal precipitation pattern will continue with scattered showers
and thunderstorms each day...particularly in the afternoon and early
evening hours. High temperatures Saturday and Sunday in the low to
mid 90s over interior zones and upper 80s to lower 90s for coastal
zones. Lows both Saturday night and Sunday night ranging from low/mid
70s inland to mid/upper 70s at the coast. 12/ds

Long term /Monday through Thursday/...some subtle changes noted to
the weather pattern come early to middle part of next
ridging weakens and general weak trofiness develops over interior
southeastern states. Moist onshore low level flow expected to
continue...and combined with the unsettled pattern...look for
continued diurnally driven scattered showers and storms each
day. Not a lot of change in daily temperature regime...with highs in
the lower 90s for most locations and lows in the 70s. 12/ds

Marine...high pressure remain in place across the eastern and north
central Gulf through early next week. A light south to southwest
wind flow is expected to prevail through early next week. Winds and
seas will be higher in and around isolated to scattered showers and
thunderstorms through the forecast period. 13/jc


Mob watches/warnings/advisories...


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