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000 
FXUS62 KMFL 172335
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
635 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2017

.UPDATE...
Outside of a few brief sprinkles near West Palm Beach, generally
benign conditions continue tonight with mild and dry weather in
place. Expect morning lows in the low-mid 60s interior and north,
and lingering the upper 60s metro areas. 

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 326 PM EST Sun Dec 17 2017/ 

DISCUSSION...
Strong and deep high pressure remains well in control of the region,
keeping benign weather conditions in place through the forecast 
period. 

Models move the center of the high basically right over South
Florida by Monday, which will turn winds more SSE by mid week.  
This will combine with a 500 mb ridge, which model solutions show
anchoring just south of the state, to bring warmer temperatures 
across the area. Afternoon highs climb back to, or just above
normal values during the next several days. 

The dry nature of the air mass across the region and the
predominantly stable state of the atmosphere will keep mainly dry
conditions through the end of the work week.

MARINE...
An easterly flow will continue over the coastal waters generally at
10 to 15 kts through the middle of the week, with some periods of
weaker winds. The high will build over the region for the middle 
of the week, turning the wind to the southeast Wednesday, and then
more southerly for the latter half of the week. Seas are forecast
to be 3 feet or less.

BEACH FORECAST...
The wind of 10 to 15 kts should keep a moderate risk of rip 
currents in the forecast through the beginning of the work week 
for the Atlantic beaches.

AVIATION...
The winds will remain easterly this afternoon at 10 to 15 knots
before decreasing to 5 knots or less tonight for the east coast
taf sites. KAPF taf site will remain mainly easterly between 5 to
10 knots this afternoon, but could go to light and variable 
after 21Z today due to a west coast sea breeze developing and
pushing slowly inland. The weather will remain dry along with VFR
conditions in the ceiling and vis at all of the taf sites this
afternoon into tonight.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
West Palm Beach  69  80  67  80 /  10  10  10   0 
Fort Lauderdale  72  80  70  79 /  10  10  10   0 
Miami            71  82  69  82 /  10  10  10   0 
Naples           65  83  65  84 /  10   0   0   0 

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.

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