Scientific Forecaster Discussion
fxus64 kmeg 222328
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Memphis Tennessee
628 PM CDT Wed Mar 22 2017
Updated for the 00z aviation discussion
Previous discussion... /issued 356 PM CDT Wed Mar 22 2017/
A strong surface high near the Great Lakes is providing a
relatively cool northeast wind across the midsouth this afternoon
under a mainly clear sky. Expect cool and dry weather tonight with
some increasing clouds after midnight.
An upper ridge will move in from the west Thursday providing a
warmer day under a return southerly flow at the surface.
An upper low and associated cold front will approach from the west
this weekend. Showers and thunderstorms will approach from the
west Friday and continue through Saturday night. A few severe
storms are possible Friday night and again Saturday afternoon.
Another upper low will provide a chance of showers and
thunderstorms early next week with another chance of a strong or
severe storm possible. Models differ Tuesday and Wednesday on how
much drying will take place as there are other shortwaves which
could keep a small chance of showers during that time.
00z taf cycle
VFR conditions will continue through the entire forecast period.
Winds will be mainly from the northeast at around 10 knots tonight
then shift to the southeast Thursday morning.