Scientific Forecaster Discussion
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Memphis Tennessee
649 PM CDT Fri Oct 28 2016
Updated for aviation discussion
Previous discussion... /issued 255 PM CDT Fri Oct 28 2016/
Still looks like more of the same for the next several days.
Guidance does have a cold front moving across the midsouth after
the middle of next week. However...even if it remains on
schedule...it does not look like any significantly cooler air will
move in behind it. It may bring US some much needed rain though.
Nothing to get excited over yet...but Worth watching.
Current temperatures are in the low to middle 80s. Another degree
or two of warming is possible this afternoon...but temperatures
have plateaued this afternoon.
Tonight...temperatures will fall into the middle 50s across most
of the midsouth. The Memphis Metro and southward across the
Mississippi River Delta will be slightly warmer...near 60. Dew
point depressions are expected to 2-5 degrees...so patchy fog is
possible, but probably not as dense or as widespread as we saw
A broad ridge over the area will gradually shift east
Saturday...becoming deamplified as a shortwave digs on the Lee
side of The Rockies. This shortwave will temporarily help break
down the ridge Saturday night into early Sunday but strong ridging
will return quickly by Sunday afternoon. As a
result...temperatures will remain virtually unchanged. This ridge
will dominate our weather pattern for most of next week. In fact
we are expecting afternoon highs to be in the middle 80s each day
through at least the middle of next week. Slightly cooler
conditions...near normal...are possible by Thursday or more likely
VFR. Light winds overnight will become south-southwest Saturday morning.
Winds speeds will increase to around 10 kts with some higher
gusts at kjbr. Lighter winds toward ktup.