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fxus64 kmaf 271127 
afdmaf

Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa Texas
627 am CDT Tue Jun 27 2017

Discussion...

Please see the 12z aviation discussion below.

&&

Aviation...

The primary concern this forecast period is the potential for low
ceilings this morning at area terminals. Have included brief
tempo MVFR mention at cnm/hob, given increased moisture in that
area due to overnight storms. Elsewhere, confidence was too low to
include. Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail, with east/southeast winds
around 12kt or less. Thunderstorms are possible this afternoon,
mainly at cnm/peq/fst, though uncertainty precludes inclusion at
this time.

&&

Previous discussion... /issued 411 am CDT Tue Jun 27 2017/

Discussion...
the recent upper pattern with a ridge over the western US and a
trough over the east will break down with upper flow becoming mostly
zonal. This pattern has been allowing shortwaves to roll down into
the area and bring rain to the region on northwest flow. Overall expect
temperatures to be on the increase with rain chances decreasing for
the coming week.

Temperatures will be on the increase today as 90s return to the area
with 100+ along the Rio Grande with more sunshine expected. Readings
at or above 100 will increase Wednesday and Thursday before a
front Friday brings slightly cooler temperatures to the area.
Above normal temperatures will then continue into next week.

The wet pattern continued Monday as maf had rain twice yesterday and
ended up recording 1.47 inches of precipitation for the day. Much
of the region received rain with a number of locations reporting
over an inch. Overnight had additional storms move down across southeast
nm and Culberson County with new development as of 08z in Terrell
County. Lowered pops north today but kept isolated pops in as
recent rainfall and daytime heating may be enough for a few storms
across the Permian Basin. Kept higher pops south of the Pecos River
today over the higher elevation especially the Davis Mountains and
Marfa Plateau. On Wednesday rain chances look to be limited to the
Davis mtns southward. Rain chances decrease after that with some
low chances in the extended.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Big Spring 92 68 96 72 / 10 10 10 10
Carlsbad 96 67 103 67 / 20 20 10 10
Dryden 96 71 99 75 / 20 10 10 10
Fort Stockton 93 68 99 73 / 20 10 10 10
Guadalupe Pass 88 65 95 69 / 30 20 10 10
Hobbs 91 65 97 65 / 10 10 10 0
Marfa 87 57 93 58 / 30 20 30 10
Midland Intl Airport 93 67 97 73 / 10 10 10 10
Odessa 93 68 97 73 / 10 10 10 10
Wink 96 69 102 72 / 10 10 10 0

&&

Maf watches/warnings/advisories...
nm...none.

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