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fxus64 kmaf 230845 
afdmaf

Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa Texas
345 am CDT sun Jul 23 2017

Discussion...

Not many changes to the current forecast, as persistence rules. Area
radars show convection continuing to slowly diminish, W/batch of
storms that came through kmaf last evening congealing into an mesoscale convective vortex in
the southern Permian Basin, while a line of storms that moved south
into Lea County persists near khob. Radar estimates as much as 2-3"
of rain fell in some locations, especially the Permian Basin.

Sat imagery shows lots of convective debris over the area, and
W/abundant moisture and saturated soils in place, temps will
struggle to reach normal today. A rich Theta-E ridge remains in
place, extending from Chihuahua thru Texas and into Arkansas and beyond.
West/multiple residual boundaries knocking about, and continued upslope
return flow, chances are good for redevelopment of widespread
convection this afternoon, especially over the higher terrain. These
chances will dwindle after today as the upper trough over the
Texas/la coast moves east and the upper ridge recenters over Texas
and strengthens. This will confine any convection, if any, to the
higher terrain out west into the extended. Temperatures will slowly
increase throughout the week, nearing the triple digits by the
weekend.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Big Spring 95 74 96 75 / 30 10 10 10
Carlsbad 93 72 93 72 / 40 10 10 10
Dryden 97 75 96 76 / 20 10 10 10
Fort Stockton 91 73 94 73 / 10 10 10 10
Guadalupe Pass 81 68 83 68 / 40 10 10 10
Hobbs 90 69 90 69 / 50 10 10 10
Marfa 83 64 87 64 / 50 10 10 10
Midland Intl Airport 93 74 96 75 / 20 10 10 10
Odessa 93 74 95 74 / 20 10 10 10
Wink 94 73 96 74 / 30 10 10 10

&&

Maf watches/warnings/advisories...
nm...none.
Texas...none.

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