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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa Texas
544 am CDT sun Jul 24 2016

Discussion...

The latest aviation discussion is included below.

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Aviation...

Prevailing southeasterly winds will become gusty this morning
into early afternoon. VFR will prevail throughout the forecast
period.

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Previous discussion... /issued 314 am CDT sun Jul 24 2016/

Another couple of hot days ahead before cooler temperatures and a
better chance of rain arrive midweek. The upper ridge will
continue moving off to the west this week, but not before we see
temperatures near 100 both today and Monday. Other than an
isolated shower across the Davis Mountains this afternoon,
subsidence will continue to squash convection one more day. Look
for temperatures near 100 again Monday afternoon, but this may be
the last day we see this for the rest of the month. The upper
ridge will move far enough west that northerly mid level flow may
allow for convection to move south from the Panhandle late
tomorrow. This looks like the beginning of a fairly active week
ahead for the area.

An inverted trough now over the western Atlantic will begin shifting
west and arrive in Texas late Monday. The trough moves closer to our
area midweek and rain chances look to increase quite a bit. It is
still uncertain how widespread convection will be given the differences
in the long range models. Even if we don't see widespread rain,
clouds and moisture will keep temperatures down beginning Tuesday.
We may even see highs below normal for a change (something that
has not occurred all month).

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Preliminary point temps/pops...
Big Spring 100 76 98 73 / 0 10 10 20
Carlsbad 103 74 100 75 / 10 10 10 10
Dryden 101 78 99 78 / 0 0 10 10
Fort Stockton 102 75 97 74 / 10 0 10 10
Guadalupe Pass 98 72 91 69 / 10 10 10 10
Hobbs 99 71 95 71 / 0 0 10 20
Marfa 96 69 93 69 / 10 10 10 10
Midland Intl Airport 102 76 100 74 / 0 0 10 20
Odessa 101 77 98 75 / 0 0 10 20
Wink 104 76 99 74 / 0 0 10 10

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Maf watches/warnings/advisories...
nm...none.
Texas...none.
&&

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67/29

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