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fxus64 kmaf 181928 
afdmaf

Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa Texas
128 PM CST Thu Jan 18 2018

Discussion...

A weak upper level low pressure area in the Rio Grande River
valley will continue to move east tonight and be replaced by an
upper level ridge of high pressure on Friday. More fair skies and
moderating temperatures will continue Friday underneath the ridge.
By Saturday southwesterly flow aloft will develop ahead of a
potent Pacific storm system. A corresponding surface trough/low
will develop and intensify with downslope flow and low level
thermal ridging boosting temperatures to much above normal values
by Saturday afternoon.

Guidance is in decent agreement tracking the Pacific system across
the central rockies and plains on Sunday. Windy to very windy
conditions will likely develop with high winds probable in the
mountains. Advisory level winds (and some blowing dust) look possible
in the plains as well. A Pacific front will knock temperatures
back to near normal values Sunday afternoon.

Went with the lower GFS surface dewpoints Saturday and Sunday as
this model does the best in the swift west to southwesterly flow
aloft regimes.

Beyond Sunday dry with near normal temperatures are expected in
zonal flow.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Big Spring 27 69 36 74 / 0 0 0 0
Carlsbad 23 72 34 74 / 0 0 0 0
Dryden 27 68 35 72 / 0 0 0 0
Fort Stockton 32 71 42 78 / 0 0 0 0
Guadalupe Pass 32 61 40 66 / 0 0 0 0
Hobbs 23 67 31 71 / 0 0 0 0
Marfa 22 65 29 70 / 0 0 0 0
Midland Intl Airport 26 66 36 75 / 0 0 0 0
Odessa 27 66 36 73 / 0 0 0 0
Wink 24 72 32 75 / 0 0 0 0

&&

Maf watches/warnings/advisories...
nm...none.
Texas...none.

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