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fxus64 klzk 271942 
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Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock Arkansas
242 PM CDT Mon Mar 27 2017

Short term...tonight through Wednesday night
data from local radars indicate a few convective cells remaining
in the forecast area, with much more widespread activity noted to
the east of the area. Any remaining cells will diminish shortly
after sunset.

Cold front now pushing into central sections of the state is
expected to stall across southern sections late tonight. This
feature, while weakening, may still be able to focus widely
scattered convection Tuesday afternoon.

Another strong upper level system will approach the mid-south on
Wednesday. Some similarities are noted between forecast model
output, and characteristics of the system that affected the region
late Friday. More moisture is forecast to be associated with this
particular system, and much more precipitation is expected.

&&

Long term...Thursday through Monday
even though convection will be winding down, rain chances will
linger into the long term as moisture wraps around the departing
system. Additional rainfall amounts will be under half an inch. By
the weekend, sunshine will make an appearance as ridging returns.
Temperatures through the weekend will be in the 60s/70s with
overnight lows in the 40s/50s. Model spread increases towards the
end of the weekend as the next round of convection unfolds. European model (ecmwf) is
a bit more progressive pushing the bulk of the rainfall through on
Sunday night, while the GFS holds most of the convection back until
Monday. Went with a blend for now, staying conservative with the
rainfall amounts.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Batesville Arkansas 51 69 54 75 / 30 10 20 40
Camden Arkansas 56 78 62 81 / 20 20 20 20
Harrison Arkansas 47 69 54 70 / 10 10 30 60
Hot Springs Arkansas 53 75 61 76 / 10 10 20 30
Little Rock Arkansas 53 75 59 79 / 20 10 20 30
Monticello Arkansas 58 79 61 82 / 20 20 20 20
Mount Ida Arkansas 50 75 60 75 / 10 10 30 40
Mountain Home Arkansas 48 70 52 73 / 10 10 20 50
Newport Arkansas 52 69 54 75 / 40 10 10 30
Pine Bluff Arkansas 56 75 60 81 / 20 10 10 20
Russellville Arkansas 50 73 58 75 / 10 10 30 40
Searcy Arkansas 51 72 56 78 / 30 10 10 30
Stuttgart Arkansas 55 74 60 79 / 30 10 10 20
&&

Lzk watches/warnings/advisories...none.
&&

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