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fxus64 klix 090943 

Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans la
343 am CST Fri Dec 9 2016

Short term...
a freeze will be in store for areas north of Lake Pontchartrain
while areas to the south will flirt with freezing. There will be a
strong possibility of frost over South Shore areas though. Even if
an isolated location gets to the magical 32 degrees on the South
Shore, it would be at daylight and wouldn't not last long.

A warming trend will ensue after tonight. As was previously
mentioned, model trends will differ for a few more days. But the
general probabilities lean toward another cold front Wednesday.
Another system will be quick on its heels and should affect the
area by the weekend. Very progressive pattern will lead to rapidly
evolving cyclical conditions through the week.


expect VFR conditions to prevail thorough the taf period. Breezy
northerly winds will continue today for taf sites along and south of
Lake Pontchartrain before calming down later on this afternoon and
evening. 13/mh


gale warnings remain in effect for the western portions of the
coastal waters through 9 am this morning. There are still a few gale
force gusts out there this morning but they should gradually fall
from the gale force into strong small craft conditions by late
morning. High end Small Craft Advisory conditions will continue
elsewhere. Conditions generally improve during the day with winds
veering steadily to easterly flow by Saturday, then onshore flow
Sunday ahead of next system which may not actually move much into
the north Gulf before stalling. 13/24


Decision support...

Dss code: blue.
Deployed: none.
Activation: none.
Activities: Gale Warning western coastal waters.

Decision support services (dss) code legend
green = no weather impacts that require action.
Blue = long-fused watch, warning, or advisory in effect or
high visibility event.
Yellow = heightened impacts with short-fused watch, warning or
advisory issuances; radar support.
Orange = high impacts; slight to moderate risk severe; nearby
tropical events; hazmat or other large episodes.
Red = full engagement for moderate risk of severe and/or
direct tropical threats; events of National significance.


Preliminary point temps/pops...
mcb 47 26 52 36 / 0 0 0 0
btr 49 28 53 40 / 0 0 0 0
asd 50 28 54 38 / 0 0 0 0
msy 50 36 53 47 / 0 0 0 0
gpt 50 31 54 42 / 0 0 0 0
pql 51 28 54 37 / 0 0 0 0


Lix watches/warnings/advisories...
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 9 PM CST this evening for gmz536-538-

Small Craft Advisory from 9 am this morning to 9 PM CST this
evening for gmz550-570.

Gale Warning until 9 am CST this morning for gmz550-570.

Small Craft Advisory until 9 am CST this morning for gmz530-532-

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 9 PM CST this evening for gmz538-552-

Small Craft Advisory from 9 am this morning to 9 PM CST this
evening for gmz570.

Gale Warning until 9 am CST this morning for gmz570.

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