Scientific Forecaster Discussion
000 FXUS64 KLCH 130245 AFDLCH Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 845 PM CST Tue Dec 12 2017 .UPDATE... Beautiful night out tonight... some high CI is streaming in on the subtropical jet as temperatures continue to slide towards morning lows. Clouds may make it a bit hard to observe the Geminids meteor shower tonight. But we will still have another chance tomorrow evening. Tonight...looking for below freezing temps in the lakes region and acrs central Louisiana twrds sunrise. Mid 30s along the I-10 corridor and near 40s at the beaches. Look for another dry front on Thursday morning. This is keep the region on the cool side into the weekend when yep... another front comes down into the northwest gulf. The big key is that this front looks to bring showers back into the forecast late Saturday into Sunday with rains ending on Monday. But Sunday's high expected in the low 70s prior to the frontal passage. Current zones are fine... no updates planned. && K. Kuyper .PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 537 PM CST Tue Dec 12 2017/ DISCUSSION... 13/00Z TAF Issuance. AVIATION... Northwest winds will diminish this evening with a dry airmass maintaining VFR conditions acrs the region through Wednesday. Sfc high pres will move east allowing winds to become southwesterly 5-10 KT by midday Wednesday. 24 PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 254 PM CST Tue Dec 12 2017/ DISCUSSION... Nice winter day across the region with temperatures in the low to mid 60s with strong sun. Temperatures will cool rapidly overnight with good radiational conditions setting up. Gradual warming trend expected through Thursday when the next cold front is expected to move through the area. There may be a few showers in the coastal waters and in extreme SC Louisiana Thursday/Thursday night. Deep trough still expected to gradually move east this weekend into early next week. This will allow good moisture return to the region along with a good chance of showers and thunderstorms. There are still model differences on the start time Saturday/Saturday night and especially on the ending sometime early next week. May eventually need to add some POPs to the daytime forecast Saturday, but choose to wait til model confidence increases a bit. Front still looks to move through on Sunday/Sunday night. 27 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AEX 30 61 37 63 / 0 0 0 0 LCH 34 61 43 67 / 0 0 0 0 LFT 35 61 43 66 / 0 0 0 0 BPT 35 61 44 66 / 0 0 0 0 && .LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... LA...None.