Scientific Forecaster Discussion

Return to Local Conditions & Forecast

Without Abbreviations
With Abbreviations

fxus62 kjax 280134 
afdjax

Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville Florida
934 PM EDT Thu Jul 27 2017

Update...
there is a left over surface boundary from today's convection
lying from Cumberland Island southwest across Nassau County and
then into the Macclenny area. This boundary is the focusing
mechanism for some convection which is being enhanced by the mid
level low pressure area over the region. Expect the storms to go
on for another hour or two with some convective debris remaining
across the area into the early morning hours. Otherwise we will
likely see some ground fog in the early morning hours in places
where heavy precipitation occurred today and especially in the
Cecil Airport area.

&&

Aviation...
showers in the vicinity of kjax are forming along a left over
surface boundary across the Jacksonville Metro area should
diminish by 03 UTC. Ceilings near the convection will be in the
3.5 to 4 kft range. Some ground fog is likely to develop in the
Cecil Airport and Gainesville Regional Airport areas toward
morning.

&&

Marine...a cold front will drop across the coastal waters on
Friday and to central Florida Friday night. Winds over the
offshore waters will be 15 to 20 knots overnight with small craft
exercise caution in effect for the area.

Rip currents: low risk tomorrow.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
amg 73 92 75 90 / 20 30 20 70
ssi 75 91 78 90 / 40 20 10 70
jax 74 93 76 93 / 50 20 10 70
sgj 76 94 77 93 / 50 30 10 40
gnv 74 92 75 92 / 20 20 10 30
ocf 74 92 75 92 / 20 20 10 30

&&

Jax watches/warnings/advisories...
Florida...none.
Georgia...none.
Am...none.
&&

National Weather Service Glossary of Abbreviations