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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Jacksonville Florida
853 PM EDT sun Jul 24 2016

Update...much drier mid and upper level air advected across the
local area this evening on the northern periphery of a retrograding
upper level low moving across South Florida. The precipitable water at jax on
the 00z radiosonde observation was 1.3 inches...below normal for this time of year.
Sea breeze and outflow boundary mergers were triggering scattered
clusters of strong tstorms west of the Interstate 75 corridor this
hour across the Suwannee River valley. Storm motion to the west
around 15 mph will push activity farther away from the local area
through midnight...with dry conditions and clear skies expected
across the area less some lingering debris clouds through sunrise.
With the drier air and light winds...fog potential will be a little
greater Monday morning compared to recent mornings...especially
inland where recent heavy rainfall occurred and where some smoke
from wildfire activity along the I-10 corridor may fan out after
midnight under the inversion. Low temps will fall to near 70 inland
where dew pts mixed out into the lower 60s today across parts of
NE Florida. Min temps along the coast will range in the mid/upper


Aviation...prevailing VFR conditions tonight with the sea breeze
merger west of the Interstate 75 corridor. South-southeast winds will decrease
below 5 kts inland over the next hour...with light south-southwest winds along
the coast after midnight. Once again included MVFR conditions at
vqq due to persistence.


Marine...south-southeast winds 10-15 kts over the waters this evening will
back to the south-southwest after midnight with a land breeze moving offshore
of the coast early Monday morning with speeds falling to 10 kts or
less. Could also see some early morning showers blossoming along
the land breeze. Combined seas of 3 ft or less are expected.

Rip currents: low risk advertised for tomorrow.


Preliminary point temps/pops...
amg 72 95 73 96 / 50 10 10 30
ssi 79 91 76 93 / 10 10 10 10
jax 72 93 76 95 / 10 10 10 40
sgj 76 89 75 91 / 10 20 10 30
gnv 70 93 73 93 / 30 30 10 40
ocf 71 93 73 94 / 30 30 30 40


Jax watches/warnings/advisories...



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