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000 
FXUS61 KILN 220540
AFDILN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
140 AM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will push slowly east across the Great Lakes 
region through Sunday. This will provide for dry conditions and 
slightly below normal temperatures through the weekend. An 
upper level low pressure system moving out of the Mississippi 
Valley will bring a chance of showers for the start of the work 
week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
Extensive high cloud cover will continue through the night with
the potential for some thinning in the northern counties before
daybreak. Just made a few minor downward adjustments to
temperatures in the normally cooler locations.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/...
The H5 low out in the srn plains will continue to drift east on 
Sunday. Upper ridge across the region continues to gets squeezed, 
but manages to remain over the fa. thicker part of the cirrus clouds 
shift south during the day Sunday, providing a some hints of 
sunshine. Temperatures will get close to normals as they reach the 
mid 60s, and maybe the upper 60s in the southeast.

Sunday night the rain associated with the upper low starts to 
lift north. Consensus of the models to keep the region dry, so 
removed the slight chance PoPs across the far south.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
An upper level low will approach and meander around the area Monday 
through Wednesday.  This will allow for extensive cloud cover.  Off 
and on rain showers will be present during this time.  There is some 
instability along and south of the Ohio River on Tuesday and 
therefore have a chance of thunderstorms in across this area during 
this time.  

High pressure will then be present Thursday into Friday morning. 
Went close to the slower ECMWF solution with a system moving through 
Friday night into Saturday bringing additional showers to the region.

High temperatures will generally be in the 50s and 60s through the 
extended.  Lows will generally be in the 30s and 40s across most 
locations.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Mid to high level clouds will persist through tonight with VFR
conditions expected through the TAF period.

OUTLOOK...MVFR ceilings will be possible Monday night into  
Wednesday.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...JGL/Sites

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