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fxus63 kict 242348 
afdict

Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Wichita Kansas
548 PM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

Short term...(this evening through Monday night)
issued at 254 PM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

Main challenge is light precip chances Sunday and Monday.
Significant upper trof will continue to move east across
the Midwest and Great Lakes through Saturday. The brisk
northwest winds and cold air stratocu will stick around
into part of the evening before decreasing overnight.
Surface high pressure will drift southeast across the area
during Saturday with light winds and temperatures still a
few degrees below seasonal climo. Two separate stream upper
trofs will affect the area Sunday into Sunday night. The main
affect of the slightly faster northern stream trof will be to
push a weak surface front south into Kansas during Sunday. The
lagging southern stream upper trof will aid in modest low level
moisture transport into this boundary with sufficient lift for
at least light precip chances for mainly southern and eastern
parts of Kansas. Broad upper troughing across the western Continental U.S.
Through Monday will keep Kansas in a milder and somewhat moist
southerly low level flow regime with modest chance for light
precip. Little change to the going forecast in this regard with
mainly rain during the daylight hours and mixed phase possible
early Sunday morning and Sunday night.

Darmofal

Long term...(tuesday through friday)
issued at 254 PM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

The mean upper trough will gradually translate eastward across
the central and into the eastern Continental U.S. From mid to late next
week. Rather modest cooling is expected on Wednesday with dry
weather for the latter periods.

Ked

&&

Aviation...(for the 00z tafs through 00z Saturday evening)
issued at 548 PM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

Wdsprd stratocu FM 2,500-3,500ft wl cover nearly all areas until
03-06z when high pressure, movg southeast FM the Nebraska Panhandle vcnty,
crosses wrn Kansas during the ngt. The southeast-movg high pressure wl cause
nly winds that at issuance are sustained FM 17-22kts W/ ~30kt gusts
to dmnsh to ~13kts this eve. The apchg high wl also scour the
stratocu FM all areas by 06z. Late tngt the northwest winds wl dmnsh even
further W/ all areas in VFR status thereafter.

&&

Fire weather...
issued at 254 PM CST Fri Feb 24 2017

Lighter winds will mitigate any fire weather concerns the next few
days with some light precip chances as well over southern Kansas
by Sunday and Monday.

Ked

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Wichita-kict 22 45 30 52 / 0 0 0 0
Hutchinson 20 45 29 52 / 0 0 10 0
Newton 21 44 29 51 / 0 0 10 10
Eldorado 22 44 30 51 / 0 0 0 10
Winfield-kwld 22 46 31 53 / 0 0 0 10
Russell 17 44 25 50 / 0 0 0 0
Great Bend 17 45 25 51 / 0 0 0 0
Salina 19 45 28 52 / 10 0 10 0
McPherson 20 44 28 51 / 0 0 10 10
Coffeyville 24 47 30 53 / 0 0 0 30
Chanute 23 45 29 51 / 10 0 0 30
Iola 23 45 29 50 / 10 0 10 30
Parsons-kppf 23 46 30 52 / 0 0 0 30

&&

Ict watches/warnings/advisories...
none.
&&

$$

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