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fxus63 kict 201117 
afdict

Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Wichita Kansas
617 am CDT Thu Jul 20 2017

Short term...(today through Saturday night)
issued at 313 am CDT Thu Jul 20 2017

Highlight:
excessive heat warning remains in effect for all areas until 8 PM
Sat.

Strong upper high that remains sprawled across the southern two
thirds of the U.S. Will keep the furnace turned up to dangerous
levels. The excessive heat warning will remain intact through Sat
evening. On Sat an intense cyclone centered over northern Ontario
will swing a compact mid-upper shortwave from extreme south-
central Canada that will reach Lake Superior late Sat night. This
would send a "lukecold" front almost due south that may still
reach central Kansas Sat afternoon. The south/southeast progress of
the front will be watched closely as this would certainly have
temperature ramifications Sat afternoon. With the mid-level short-
wave's greatest kick occurring over the northern plains the front
should decelerate & maybe even stall as it pushes further into
central Kansas. Would not be surprised if sat's highs end up 2-3f
above what consall has assigned across southern Kansas. With the
nearly east/west oriented front bisecting KS, thunderstorms are
still anticipated Sat night with locally heavy rains possible.

Long term...(sunday through wednesday)
issued at 313 am CDT Thu Jul 20 2017

Sunday & Sunday night:
with the front setting up Camp close to the Kansas/OK border scattered
thunderstorms would be expected across southern Kansas sun & Sun night.

Mon-Wed:
the front gradually weakens on Mon but with the boundary expected
to be positioned close to the Kansas/OK border the furnace would be
turned down about 5 degrees across kict country. The "cooldown"
may be short-lived as a rapidly strengthening surface trough
oriented in north/south manner along the Front Range would quickly
allow southerly flow to return to the Kansas neighborhood. This would
send highs back into the mid 90s. The increasing moisture migrating
from OK may be sufficient to 'spark' thunderstorms Tue afternoon.

&&

Aviation...(for the 12z tafs through 12z Friday morning)
issued at 608 am CDT Thu Jul 20 2017

Aviation concerns are expected to remain minimal through the next
24 hours.

Strong ridge of high pressure will remain over the
central/Southern Plains. This will allow clear skies and very warm
temps to continue. Winds will remain out of the southwest this
afternoon and will back slightly to the southeast tonight.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Wichita-kict 102 78 102 77 / 0 0 0 0
Hutchinson 103 78 103 77 / 0 0 0 0
Newton 102 78 101 77 / 0 0 0 0
Eldorado 99 78 99 76 / 0 0 0 0
Winfield-kwld 100 78 100 77 / 0 0 0 0
Russell 105 77 105 76 / 0 0 0 0
Great Bend 103 77 104 75 / 0 0 0 0
Salina 107 80 106 79 / 0 0 0 0
McPherson 103 78 103 77 / 0 0 0 0
Coffeyville 96 76 98 76 / 0 0 0 0
Chanute 97 76 98 76 / 0 0 0 0
Iola 97 75 98 76 / 0 0 0 0
Parsons-kppf 96 76 98 76 / 0 0 0 0

&&

Ict watches/warnings/advisories...
excessive heat warning until 8 PM CDT Saturday for ksz032-033-
047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100.

&&

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