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afdict

Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Wichita Kansas
229 PM CST Tue Nov 21 2017

Short term...(this evening through Friday night)
issued at 228 PM CST Tue Nov 21 2017

Tonight:
clear & cold weather for all areas as strong high pressure spreads
& moves almost due S across Kansas. Excellent radiational cooling
dictates lowering mins ~3f in nearly all areas.

Rest of the week:
a strong (though deamplifying) upper-Deck Ridge will spread east over
the northern plains & likely reach Ontario Thu night as a compact,
positively-tilted shortwave scoots east across the Dakotas Thu night
& Fri. The shortwave would induce lower-deck troffing from the
northwestern plains to co/nm. The onsetting S/SW flow would induce
pronounced warming Thu & Fri with record highs easily in reach for
most of central & south-central Kansas on Fri. As the sharp short-wave
surges southeast across the upper/mid MS valley Fri night it will send a
weak cold front southeast across Kansas Fri night. Airmass is dry, so no more
than the customary wind shift would signal the front's arrival and
passage.

Long term...(saturday through tuesday)
issued at 228 PM CST Tue Nov 21 2017

Next weekend:
all remains quiet as a high amplitude upper ridge moves east from The
Rockies to the northern & Central Plains, while the downstream mid
to upper wave deepens rapidly while it crosses the Appalachians.

Mon-Tue:
the next mid-upper shortwave will drive the afore-mentioned ridge
across eastern North America. The resulting & rapidly developing
lower-deck trof would produce warmer weather

&&

Aviation...(for the 18z tafs through 18z Wednesday afternoon)
issued at 1122 am CST Tue Nov 21 2017

VFR conditions will persist the next 24 hours. Strong north winds
in wake of a cold front will slacken quite a bit this evening as
high pressure moves south over mid-America tonight. Winds will
turn south/southwesterly Wednesday around 10-15 kts generally west
of I-135.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Wichita-kict 20 49 34 65 / 0 0 0 0
Hutchinson 18 50 35 66 / 0 0 0 0
Newton 16 48 34 64 / 0 0 0 0
Eldorado 19 47 34 64 / 0 0 0 0
Winfield-kwld 19 48 34 64 / 0 0 0 0
Russell 16 57 38 68 / 0 0 0 0
Great Bend 17 56 38 68 / 0 0 0 0
Salina 18 51 37 66 / 0 0 0 0
McPherson 15 50 34 65 / 0 0 0 0
Coffeyville 20 46 32 61 / 0 0 0 0
Chanute 20 45 32 60 / 0 0 0 0
Iola 18 44 32 60 / 0 0 0 0
Parsons-kppf 20 46 32 60 / 0 0 0 0

&&

Ict watches/warnings/advisories...
none.
&&

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