Scientific Forecaster Discussion
fxus66 khnx 232222 cca
Area forecast discussion...corrected
National Weather Service San Joaquin Valley - Hanford California
322 PM PDT Mon Oct 23 2017
Synopsis...dry weather and above normal temperatures will prevail
through the forecast.
clear and dry conditions across the central California interior.
Temperatures running several degrees warmer this afternoon. The
greatest warming taking place over the Kern County mountains 10-15
degrees warmer from yesterday due to downsloping winds below the
Models in good agreement indicating a ridge along the West Coast
will amplify northward through Tuesday night. While a surface
high pressure will strengthen over the Great Basin tonight and
Tuesday with low pressure off the Southern California coastline.
This will bring stronger offshore winds to the area...dropping
relative humidity values...especially over the Kern County
mountains. Surface pressure gradients tighten tonight through
Tuesday resulting in moderate easterly offshore wind across the
Kern County mountains. Winds blowing through the Tehachapi
Mountain passes should warm and dry on the sjv side. This will
result in dry conditions and in combination with strong offshore
winds will create critical fire weather conditions through
Tuesday. Winds diminishing on Wednesday. Please continue to
monitor the forecast for the latest information.
Otherwise...continued warming and dry is expected as the ridge
remains over the West Coast into the middle of the week. Wednesday
looks to be the warmest day of the week...with temperatures
between 10 and 15 degrees above normal. In fact...a few valley
spots could reach the low 90s.
Although we are a full month into fall...Summer will not let up
in central California. According to the climate prediction centers
8 to 14 day outlook...there is still a chance of above normal
temperatures and below normal precipitation into the first week
VFR conditions are expected to prevail during the next 24 hours
across the central California interior.
Air quality issues...
The level of certainty for days 1 and 2 is high.
The level of certainty for days 3 through 7 is high.
Certainty levels include low...medium...and high. Please visit
www.Weather.Gov/hnx/certainty.Php for additional information
an/or to provide feedback.
red flag warning until 6 PM PDT Tuesday caz295.