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Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio Texas
241 PM CDT Wed Jun 28 2017

Short term (tonight through Thursday night)...
a much quieter forecast is expected for the short term period
compared to the last several days. With the upper level ridge axis
shifting east and over the area as well as a low to mid level low
pressure area over the coast of Texas, lifting and moisture are
lacking for much convection this afternoon. Some stray isolated cells
from near the coast may drift northwest into the southeast zones late
this afternoon but occasional cloud to ground lightning and briefly
heavy rain are the only concerns, if anything reaches that area.

Similar set up again tomorrow with very isolated chances for
showers/storms in the southeast zones. The upper ridge continues to
plant itself over the region with temperatures warming into the mid
90s and heat indices creeping into the triple digits.

&&

Long term (friday through wednesday)...
heat indices look to peak Friday with many locations coming very
close to heat advisory criteria, basically everywhere not on the
Edwards Plateau. Not much change is expected in the synoptic pattern
over the weekend and into early next week. By the Fourth of July,
highs will be in the mid to upper 90s along the I-35 corridor
southwest to the Rio Grande.

The upper ridge will weaken slightly mid week next week, perhaps
enough to re-introduce isolated pop chances in the southeast, but
models currently keep chances less than 20%. Thus for the next 7
days, the focus for potential weather hazards will be primarily heat.
With many folks likely to be exposing themselves to extended periods
in the heat over the weekend and through the Holiday, extra
precautions should be taken for staying hydrated, protection from the
sun (shade, protective clothing, and not over-exerting).

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Austin Camp Mabry 73 94 77 95 77 / - - 0 10 -
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 72 94 77 95 77 / - - 0 10 -
New Braunfels Muni Airport 72 94 76 95 76 / 0 - 0 10 -
Burnet Muni Airport 72 93 75 94 75 / 0 - 0 - 0
del Rio Intl Airport 73 100 77 100 78 / 0 - 0 0 0
Georgetown Muni Airport 72 94 76 95 76 / 0 - 0 10 -
Hondo Muni Airport 72 97 76 98 76 / 0 - 0 0 0
San Marcos Muni Airport 72 93 77 94 77 / 0 - 0 10 -
La Grange - Fayette regional 73 92 78 93 78 / - 20 20 30 20
San Antonio Intl Airport 74 96 77 96 77 / 0 - 0 10 -
Stinson Muni Airport 74 96 77 96 77 / 0 - 0 10 -

&&

Ewx watches/warnings/advisories...
none.
&&

$$

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