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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Dodge City Kansas
512 am CST Tue Dec 6 2016

..update to aviation...

Short term...(today and tonight)
issued at 238 am CST Tue Dec 6 2016

Northerly winds will shift to the southeast this afternoon with
increasing cloudiness this evening. This is as an upper level
disturbance moves through the Pacific northwest and into the
central rockies by this evening. This disturbance will then move
into the Central Plains Wednesday. Mostly cloudy skies are
expected overnight with chances of snow starting across west
central Kansas a few hours after midnight. Snow chances then
spread eastward into central Kansas by sunrise Wednesday. The bulk
of this system will move through the area Wednesday and will be
talked about more in the long term section. As for temperatures,
highs today look to range from the lower 30s across northwest
Kansas to lower 40s across south central Kansas. Lows tonight are
anticipated to range from the mid teens across northwest Kansas to
mid 20s across south central Kansas.

Long term...(wednesday through monday)
issued at 238 am CST Tue Dec 6 2016

The remainder of the aforementioned system will move through the
area Wednesday bringing mostly cloud skies and scattered snow
showers to western Kansas. The area that looks to receive the
majority of snow will be across northern Kansas and west central
Kansas with lesser amounts as you head farther south. In fact,
areas along the Kansas/OK border may not receive any snow at all. Snow
chances diminish from west to east Wednesday afternoon with dry
conditions and decreasing cloudiness Wednesday night. This system
will also help push through a cold front Wednesday with northerly
winds and a much colder air mass behind it. Temperatures Wednesday
look to range from the lower 20s across northwest Kansas to lower
30s across south central Kansas. Lows Wednesday night are expected
to fall into the single digits with the exception of south central
Kansas where teens will be found. The cold air mass continues to
filter into the area Thursday with highs only reaching into the
20s with lows Thursday night in the single digits and lower teens.
Wind chills down to the negative single digits are also expected
Wednesday and Thursday mornings with dry conditions. The next
system looks to move through the area this weekend, however, it
looks to trek to the north of the County Warning Area with only an increase in
cloudiness expected. As for temperatures, highs Friday are
anticipated to rise into the 30s with 40s this weekend. Lows will
rebound into the 20s with the exception of west central Kansas
where upper teens could be found.

&&

Aviation...(for the 12z tafs through 12z Wednesday morning)
issued at 507 am CST Tue Dec 6 2016

VFR conditions will prevail at all taf sites through late this evening.
Northerly winds 5 to 15kt will persist across western Kansas through
this afternoon as surface high pressure shifts slowly eastward across
eastern Colorado. Winds will then become light and variable this evening
as the surface high pushes further east into western Kansas.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
ddc 40 22 30 8 / 0 20 30 0
gck 38 20 27 7 / 0 20 40 0
eha 37 19 30 8 / 0 10 10 0
lbl 39 22 32 9 / 0 10 20 0
hys 37 19 25 8 / 0 30 50 0
p28 42 25 35 14 / 0 10 30 0

&&

Ddc watches/warnings/advisories...
none.
&&

$$

Short term...hovorka_42
long term...hovorka_42
aviation...jjohnson

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