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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Dodge City Kansas
600 am CDT sun Oct 23 2016

..updated aviation...

Short term...(today and tonight)
issued at 228 am CDT sun Oct 23 2016

High temperatures for this afternoon will drop about 10 degrees
from yesterday's highs, as a cold front now over southwest
Nebraska drops south into the western 1/3rd of the state. Winds
won't be very strong behind the front, however breezy conditions
can be expected through the morning and early afternoon before
winds turn northeasterly and weaken to light. Tonights low
temperatures will again be on par with climate, in the 40s

Long term...(monday through saturday)
issued at 228 am CDT sun Oct 23 2016

The extended period continues to look near or above climatology,
especially with respect to highs. A surge in surface dew points
looks imminent by late Monday, as the large surface high over the
northern plains shifts across the upper Midwest enhancing the High
Plains surface pressure gradient. GFS/ec continue to bring a
shortwave and attendant cold front into the Central Plains late
Tuesday night which may be the impetus for showers and
thunderstorms. The consensus of multiple runs suggests, the far
western counties will remain dry and storms are more likely to
develop farther east across the southeast half of the forecast


Aviation...(for the 12z tafs through 12z Monday morning)
issued at 600 am CDT sun Oct 23 2016

VFR/sky clear through Monday morning. Only scattered thin cirrus at
times. Some modest reductions in vis with br are possible around
12z Monday, but left out of the tafs for now. Dry cold front will
slide through SW Kansas through 15z, with gusty NE winds following
through the afternoon. NE winds will average 15-25 kts with gusts
near 30 kts most likely at gck 15-19z. NE winds will subside
quickly by 00z Mon.


Preliminary point temps/pops...
ddc 77 45 77 57 / 0 0 0 10
gck 75 43 76 53 / 0 0 0 10
eha 78 43 78 53 / 0 0 0 0
lbl 80 45 79 55 / 0 0 0 10
hys 72 43 73 55 / 0 0 0 0
p28 79 49 77 58 / 0 0 0 0


Ddc watches/warnings/advisories...


long term...Russell

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