Scientific Forecaster Discussion
fxus61 kctp 172326
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service State College PA
726 PM EDT Tue Oct 17 2017
high pressure will remain in place all the way into the weekend.
This will bring an extended period of dry weather and mild
temperatures. A change in the weather is expected early next
week when a cold front will bring a chance of showers.
Near term /through Wednesday/...
we are at the northern end of a big bubble so no trouble.
Beautiful near normal mid-October day. Light winds so it should
feel comfortable this afternoon with the sunshine. But when the
sun GOES down the air will be a tad cool.
Due to warm water bodies expect some patchy fog in stream and
river valleys and large ponds and lakes.
Short term /Wednesday night through Thursday night/...
steady warming trend begins with temperatures peaking well into
the 60s on Wednesday and a bit warmer Wednesday night. Low
temperatures probably could support some overnight patch fog
Another nice but slightly warmer day still on Thursday. We're on
a roll for nice this week.
Long term /Friday through Tuesday/...
as has been the case for much of the last month, upper level
ridging will keep the region dry and mild through the weekend. A
trof will approach the region on Monday bringing an increase in
cloud cover and an increasing chance for showers.
Aviation /00z Wednesday through Sunday/...
clear skies will prevail through the taf period. Winds will
generally be light, favoring the southwest under 10 knots
through the period as well.
Generally no restrictions expected through Sunday, except for
some patchy valley fog in the overnights and near sunrise. This
should become more prevalent later in the period, Friday through
Wed-Thu...no sig wx expected.
Fri-sun...mainly VFR, with just some patchy am valley fog.