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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Birmingham Alabama
1237 PM CDT Wednesday Jul 27 2016

Update...
for 18z aviation.

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Update...
morning update.

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Discussion...

A mostly cloudy sky is expected to continue across central Alabama
this afternoon, with daytime heating and a nearby upper-level
disturbance (centered toward the west) aiding in a trend of
passing showers. A few thunderstorms are expected to form as well given
a few pockets of stronger heating where cloud breaks are
occurring. Highs will run in the upper 80fs to low 90fs.

Clouds continue tonight and into Thursday morning for a chunk of
the service area, and while the coverage of showers/storms will
wane with time this evening, it's possible that there could be an
instance of drizzle or an isolated light shower for portions of
central Alabama. If support for this idea continues, then pops may
be adjusted. Lows are progged in the low 70fs.

89/gsatterwhite

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Aviation...
18z taf discussion.

Broken/overcast conditions continue for most taf sites/tcl-bhm-eet-asn-
anb this afternoon, with scattered at mgm-toi. Bases are projected to
average in VFR range, though it's plausible that transient
occurrences of MVFR could be observed given the extent of
cloudiness. Passing showers are ongoing, and expectations are for
a few thunderstorms to Blossom as well in the coming hours. This
activity should affect all taf sites in some fashion afternoon
into evening.

The coverage of showers/storms wane this evening, with the focus
shifting to a thickening and lowering of clouds back toward the
lower end of MVFR overnight and into Thursday morning (excluding
mgm-toi, at this time). A light shower or instance of drizzle may
manifest as well. These changes may be reflected in upcoming taf
updates.

89/gsatterwhite

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Fire weather...

Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected over
the next several days with highs in the 90s. Surface winds will be
rather light and generally from the south. Since surface dew
points are so high, critical fire weather thresholds are not
expected to be met with no watches or warnings anticipated.

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Preliminary point temps/pops...
Gadsden 72 89 71 89 71 / 30 40 30 50 20
Anniston 72 90 72 91 72 / 30 20 20 40 20
Birmingham 74 89 74 90 74 / 40 40 30 40 30
Tuscaloosa 73 90 73 91 73 / 50 50 30 40 20
Calera 73 90 73 91 73 / 40 30 20 40 20
Auburn 73 92 74 92 74 / 20 20 20 20 20
Montgomery 74 95 75 95 75 / 30 20 20 30 20
Troy 72 92 73 92 73 / 20 20 20 30 20

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Bmx watches/warnings/advisories...
none.

&&

$$

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