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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Amarillo Texas
329 PM CDT Tuesday Jul 26 2016

Discussion...
an upper level 594 decameter high pressure system sitting over the 4
corners region will continue to provide east to northeast flow across
the panhandles. As we go through the rest of the work week, a 500
hpa northwesterly flow will return to the region as a low amplitude
meridional flow returns to the central Continental U.S.. in-conjunction with a
south to southeast surface flow that will bring higher td's to the
region, latest 26/12z shows diurnally driven convection with any
localized convergent boundaries across the panhandles with the best
chances across the eastern Panhandle with the highest moisture values.
Some of the models are hinting at some more substantial quantitative precipitation forecast for the
eastern OK Panhandle and northeastern Texas Panhandle as a shortwave
trough over western Kansas near S surface stationary boundary develops a
region of mid level positive vorticity advection that will move southeast in the northwest flow and provide
an enhanced chance of precipitation in the eastern panhandles late
Thursday night into Friday morning. SBCAPE values from latest 12z
model data does show a range between 1000-1550 j/kg, however, 0-6 km
shear is very limited. Further updates will be made to the forecast
as we get closer to the event. Otherwise, as we go Friday afternoon into
the weekend, the upper level high pressure will move east over our
region bring tranquil weather back into the region. Temperatures will
continue to remain above average as we go through the next several
days.

Lfm

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Amarillo Texas 69 94 69 96 70 / 20 20 20 10 20
Beaver OK 69 96 69 96 69 / 10 20 20 10 30
Boise City OK 66 93 66 95 65 / 20 20 20 10 20
Borger Texas 72 96 73 98 72 / 20 20 20 10 20
Boys Ranch Texas 69 95 68 98 71 / 20 20 20 10 10
canyon Texas 69 94 68 96 69 / 20 20 20 10 10
Clarendon Texas 70 93 70 96 71 / 20 20 20 20 10
Dalhart Texas 67 95 65 97 68 / 20 20 20 10 10
Guymon OK 68 97 68 95 69 / 10 20 20 10 30
Hereford Texas 67 93 68 96 69 / 20 20 20 10 10
Lipscomb Texas 69 94 69 97 70 / 10 20 20 20 30
Pampa Texas 68 93 68 95 70 / 20 20 20 10 20
Shamrock Texas 71 94 71 97 71 / 10 20 20 20 20
Wellington Texas 72 95 72 99 72 / 20 20 20 20 20

&&

Ama watches/warnings/advisories...
Texas...none.
OK...none.

&&

$$

2/29

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