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fxus64 kama 270919 
afdama

Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo Texas
419 am CDT Tue Jun 27 2017

Discussion...
northwest flow will transition to westerly flow this evening as an
upper level trough suppresses The Four Corners high pressure
system. This westerly downslope flow will continue for the next
few days, allowing for very warm to hot temperatures through
Thursday. As the upper level trough axis crosses the panhandles on
Thursday evening, a surface cold front will accompany this
trough, bringing temperatures back into the 80s on Friday. This
will be short lived as west to northwest flow will return to the
area over the weekend, as The Four Corners high rebuilds,
returning hot weather to the panhandles.

There is a slight chance of thunderstorms for the northwest OK/Texas
Panhandle today. Storms have the potential to be severe as a
shortwave trough will move across the area. Central and eastern
panhandles will have a stronger cap in place at 700h that will
inhibit storms to continue. Therefore have only kept the pops in
the forecast for the northwest areas. With drier westerly flow in
place the chances for thunderstorms will be minimal until Thursday
evening, when a slight chance of thunderstorms returns to the far
northeastern panhandles. Thunderstorms will return under
northwest flow over the weekend and into early next week.

Weber

&&

Aviation...
for 06z tafs... isolated thunderstorms have developed in Hartley
County, southwest of kdht. Right now it appears kdht will not be
impacted but will be monitoring closely over next hour or so.
Storm motion suggest these might approach kama in a few hours
which could affect local winds and cigs/vsbys. Will be monitoring
for possible amendments. Overall, except for any local reductions
in cigs/vsbys due to these thunderstorms, VFR conditions should
prevail. Winds will be southerly at around 10 knots switching to
southwesterly at 15-25 knots Tuesday afternoon. Thunderstorms may
approach our western zones again Tuesday evening, but confidence
not high enough to include in tafs at this time.

Ward

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Amarillo Texas 89 67 98 68 99 / 5 10 5 5 5
Beaver OK 93 71 100 70 100 / 5 5 5 5 5
Boise City OK 88 65 94 62 95 / 5 5 5 5 5
Borger Texas 92 71 101 71 101 / 5 10 5 5 5
Boys Ranch Texas 92 69 103 68 99 / 5 10 5 5 0
canyon Texas 88 67 98 68 99 / 5 10 5 5 0
Clarendon Texas 88 68 97 70 101 / 5 5 5 5 5
Dalhart Texas 91 66 101 62 97 / 5 5 5 5 5
Guymon OK 91 70 98 66 98 / 5 5 5 5 5
Hereford Texas 90 67 100 67 99 / 10 10 5 5 0
Lipscomb Texas 92 71 99 72 102 / 5 5 10 5 5
Pampa Texas 90 69 99 70 100 / 5 10 5 5 5
Shamrock Texas 90 70 99 72 100 / 5 5 5 5 5
Wellington Texas 92 71 99 72 101 / 5 5 5 5 0

&&

Ama watches/warnings/advisories...
Texas...none.
OK...none.

&&

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