Hurricane and Tropical Cyclones

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Tropical Weather Discussion

000 

abpw10 pgtw 020600
msgid/genadmin/joint typhoon wrncen Pearl Harbor hi//
subj/significant tropical weather advisory for the western and
/South Pacific oceans/020600z-030600zsep2014//
rmks/
1. Western North Pacific area (180 to Malay Peninsula):
   a. Tropical cyclone summary: none.
   B. Tropical disturbance summary:
      (1) the area of convection previously located near 12.3n 
131.7e, is now located near 15.1n 125.6e, approximately 272 nm east 
of Manila, Philippines. Animated multispectral satellite imagery 
depicts disorganized deep convection associated with an ill-defined 
low-level circulation center. A 020123z metop-b microwave image 
reveals weak convective banding broadly wrapping towards the center. 
Upper-level analysis indicates the disturbance is located in a 
favorable environment with low (05 to 10 knot) vertical wind shear 
and fair outflow.  Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 
10 to 15 knots. Minimum sea level pressure is estimated to be near 
1006 mb. Due to favorable conditions, but lack of organization, the 
potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone 
within the next 24 hours remains low.
      (2) no other suspect areas.
2. South Pacific area (west coast of South America to 135 east):
   a. Tropical cyclone summary: none.
   B. Tropical disturbance summary: none.//
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