Share

Workweek Snow for Southern Plains, Northeast

Nick Wiltgen | TWC
Published: February 12, 2013

Northeast Snow... One Event or Two?

The Southern Plains system is expected to make a gentle left turn, taking it on a northeasterly course.

That will take the center of low pressure off the Mid-Atlantic coast and south of New England, bringing a quick stripe of accumulating snow to much of the Northeast I-95 corridor Wednesday night.

(FORECAST: D.C. | Baltimore | Philly | NYC | Boston)

Accumulations from this system will be a small fraction of those from this past weekend's blizzard, and winds will not be nearly as strong.

However, there could be several inches of snow to deal with by the time Thursday's morning commute begins.  The most aggressive model guidance suggests worst-case totals of 6 to 8 inches in a few places, but the more likely outcome is considerably less than that.

Weekend Snow Forecast

Above: Monday morning's European model forecast (left) and American GFS forecast (right), valid at 1 p.m. Eastern time Sunday, Feb. 17. The models disagree sharply about the evolution of this weekend's East Coast weather.

Another winter storm may target the Northeast this weekend, but at the present time the forecast remains quite uncertain.

The American GFS model has been favoring the development of a powerful winter storm that would affect the Northeast with high winds and heavy snowfall. This model, which is run four times a day, has occasionally suggested another storm rivaling Nemo in snowfall and wind energy.

However, the European model, which had the better track record forecasting Nemo and Superstorm Sandy, has been favoring a scenario that winds up a winter storm a bit too far east to have much impact on the United States.

The Monday morning versions of these models were particularly stark in their disagreement, with the GFS model hammering the entire Megalopolis with wind and heavy snow, and the European model keeping the storm (or at least, its precipitation) almost entirely offshore.

Stay tuned to The Weather Channel and weather.com as we examine future model simulations for hints on which scenario is more likely to occur.

MORE ON WUNDERGROUND.COM: WINTER STORM NEMO PHOTOS

Bridgeport, Conn.

Bridgeport, Conn.

A row of school busses are buried in snow near Bridgeport, Conn., Sunday, Feb. 10, 2013, in the aftermath of a storm that hit Connecticut and much of the New England states. (AP Photo/Craig Ruttle)

  • Bridgeport, Conn.
  • Portland, Maine
  • Hartford, Conn.
  • Boston, Mass.
  • Boston, Mass.
  • Somerville, Mass.
  • Portland, Maine
  • Hyannis, Mass.
  • Hyannis, Mass.
  • Somerville, Mass.
  • Hyannis, Mass.
  • Somerville, Mass.
  • Somerville, Mass.
  • Montpelier, Vt.
  • Somerville, Mass.
  • Staten Island, N.Y.
  • Staten Island, N.Y.
  • North Andover, Mass.
  • Staten Island, N.Y.
  • Staten Island, N.Y.
  • Danbury, Conn.
  • New York, N.Y.
  • Winthrop, Mass.
  • Sea Cliff, N.Y.
  • Buffalo, N.Y.
  • New York, N.Y.
  • Green Brook, N.J.
  • Staten Island, N.Y.
  • Boston, Mass.
  • Boston, Mass.
  • New York, N.Y.
  • Plains Township, Pa.
  • Green Brook, N.J.
  • Boston, Mass.
  • Boston, Mass.
  • Boston, Mass.
  • Portland, Maine
  • Boston, Mass.
  • Boston, Mass.
  • Boston, Mass.
  • Jersey City, N.J.
  • Boston, Mass.
  • Boston, Mass.
  • Boston, Mass.
  • Lincoln Park, N.J.
  • Jersey City, N.J.
  • New York, N.Y.
  • New York, N.Y.
  • New York, N.Y.
  • Boston, Mass.
  • Boston, Mass.
  • Boston, Mass.
  • Boston, Mass.
  • Boston, Mass.
  • Boston, Mass.
  • Boston, Mass.
  • Boston, Mass.
  • Boston, Mass.
  • Boston, Mass.
  • Boston, Mass.
  • Jersey City, N.J.
  • Jersey City, N.J.
  • Jersey City, N.J.
  • Jersey City, N.J.
  • Boston, Massachusetts
  • Albany, New York
  • Buffalo, New York
  • Boston, Massachusetts
  • Portland, Maine
  • Boston Common
  • New York City
  • Toronto, Canada
  • Boston, Massachusetts
  • Hartford, Connecticut
  • West Bend, Wisconsin
  • Kenosha, Wisconsin
  • Kenosha, Wisconsin
  • Madison, Wisconsin
  • Cambridge, Mass.
  • Cambridge, Mass.
  • Cambridge, Mass.
  • Plymouth Township, Mich.
  • West Springfield, Mass.
  • Detroit, Mich.
  • Plymouth Township, Mich.
  • New York City
  • Springfield, Mass.
  • Holyoke, Mass.
  • New York, N.Y.
  • New York, N.Y.
  • New York, N.Y.
  • Boston, Mass.
  • Brick, N.J.
  • Boston, Mass.
  • Boston, Mass.
  • Boston, Mass.
  • Winter Storm Nemo

Featured Blogs

Pre-Thanksgiving Nor'easter Snarls Holiday Travel

By Dr. Jeff Masters
November 26, 2014

Nearly nineteen million people in the Eastern U.S. are under a Winter Storm Warning as a poorly-timed Nor'easter socks it to travelers hitting the roads and skies in advance of the Thanksgiving holiday.

October 2014 Global Weather Extremes Summary

By Christopher C. Burt
November 22, 2014

October was globally the warmest such on record according to NOAA (see Jeff Master’s blog for more about this). Extreme heat waves affected southern South America and California with exceptional warmth in Europe and Australia as well. Intense rainfalls plagued southern France and Italy. Deadly flooding and mudslides occurred in Sri Lanka. A blizzard in Nepal killed at least 43 trekkers and their guides. Hurricane Gonzalo was the first CAT 4 tropical storm in three years to form in the Atlantic Basin and struck Bermuda. Typhoon Vongfong was the Earth’s most powerful storm of the year.

Live Blog: Tracking Hurricane Arthur as it Approaches North Carolina Coast

By Shaun Tanner
July 3, 2014

This is a live blog set up to provide the latest coverage on Hurricane Arthur as it threatens the North Carolina Coast. Check back often to see what the latest is with Arthur. The most recent updates are at the top.

Tropical Terminology

By Stu Ostro
June 30, 2014

Here is some basic, fundamental terminology related to tropical cyclones. Rather than a comprehensive and/or technical glossary, this represents the essence of the meaning & importance of some key, frequently used terms.

2013-14 - An Interesting Winter From A to Z

By Tom Niziol
May 15, 2014

It was a very interesting winter across a good part of the nation from the Rockies through the Plains to the Northeast. Let's break down the most significant winter storms on a month by month basis.

What the 5th IPCC Assessment Doesn't Include

By Angela Fritz
September 27, 2013

Melting permafrost has the potential to release an additional 1.5 trillion tons of carbon into the atmosphere, and could increase our global average temperature by 1.5°F in addition to our day-to-day human emissions. However, this effect is not included in the IPCC report issued Friday morning, which means the estimates of how Earth's climate will change are likely on the conservative side.