Partly cloudy in the evening...then mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain after midnight. Lows in the mid 30s. Southeast winds 10 mph or less.
Wednesday
Rain and breezy. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 50s. Southeast winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts to around 40 mph. Chance of rain near 100 percent.
Rain showers in the evening...then rain showers likely after midnight. Breezy. Lows in the mid to upper 30s. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. Chance of rain 80 percent.
Thursday
Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers in the morning...then a slight chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Highs in the lower to mid 40s. West winds 5 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.
Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of snow showers. Lows in the lower to mid 20s.
Saturday
Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of snow showers. Highs in the lower to mid 30s.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower to mid 20s.
Sunday
Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 30s to lower 40s.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s.
Monday
Partly sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 40s.
Monday Night
Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers in the evening...then a slight chance of snow showers after midnight. Lows around 30. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Tuesday
Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers and snow showers in the morning...then a slight chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Highs in the lower to mid 40s. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
There are currently no warnings or advisories for this location.
Public Information Statement
Statement as of 4:15 PM EST on December 1, 2009
**************************************************** winter preparedness week in Virginia and North Carolina November 29-December 5, 2009 ****************************************************
The governors of Virginia and North Carolina have declared the week of November 29 to December 5, 2009 is winter preparedness week. The National Weather Service /NWS/ offices serving Virginia and North Carolina... in cooperation with their respective departments of emergency management... will send public information statements over the NOAA weather wire service each day through Saturday at approximately 11 am and 3 PM EST. These statements will focus on different aspects of winter weather in the mid Atlantic region... and preparedness actions the public should take for the upcoming winter season.
Today's topic - snow... sleet and freezing rain... how do they form?
Several winter weather situations affected Virginia last winter... bringing snow and/or mixed precipitation to the commonwealth. And... as many of US remember, the 1998-99 winter had 2 memorable ice events. For many in central... southern and eastern Virginia... the Christmas eve ice storm will long be remembered. Trees... laden with one-half inch to an inch and a half of ice snapped like toothpicks... knocking down trees and power lines... and shutting off power out power to several hundred thousand customers. Some were without power for as long as 10 days. Many spent Christmas with no heat and no lights... giving a taste of what it must have been like for early American settlers.
In addition to the power outages... many primary and secondary roads were littered with downed trees and tree limbs. Portions of Interstate 64 were temporarily closed due to tree debris. Fortunately... the Christmas eve ice storm was not accompanied by bitterly cold temperatures... which obviously would have made the situation much worse.
An ice storm of similar magnitude struck northern Virginia on January 14-15 1999. One-quarter to one inch of ice accumulation caused many accidents... downed many trees... and knocked out power to more than two hundred thousand customers. Accidents temporarily closed portions of several primary roads... including the Dulles toll Road... snarling traffic for hours. Downed trees also caused part of Interstate 95 to be temporarily shut down.
Many virginians will also remember the multiple ice storms during the 1993-94 winter. Unlike the storms of 1998-99... several of these storms were accompanied by very cold temperatures... which inhibited the melting of the ice and prolonged recovery efforts.
Forecasting whether a particular winter storm will produce snow, ice, rain, or a mixture of precipitation is one of the most difficult forecast problems meteorologists face. Virginia's close proximity to both the Atlantic Ocean and a cold air source over eastern Canada and New England make forecasting the exact position of the rain/snow line a major forecast challenge. In fact, a deviation in forecast storm track of only 50 miles can mean the difference between a foot of snow, an inch of ice, or two inches of rain.
The key factor in determining precipitation type with a particular winter storm is the depth of cold air above the ground. If the air from ground level up several thousand feet is above freezing, rain will fall. If the air from the ground up through the depth of the atmosphere is below freezing, snow will fall. However, if cold air is entrenched at the ground with a layer of warm air above it, sleet and/or freezing rain are likely.
For sleet to fall... the cold air near the ground must be deep enough to allow the raindrops falling through to re-freeze before reaching the ground.
For freezing rain to fall... cold air near the ground is shallow. Raindrops remain in liquid form until they contact objects at ground level.
All three of these precipitation types can cause significant disruption to our normal daily activities. Slick or icy roads provide a Haven for motor vehicle accidents, and potentially massive traffic jams. At the very least driving speeds will be slowed significantly by snowy or icy conditions. Walking on an ice covered street or sidewalk can be adventurous or even prohibitive.
By keeping abreast of the latest forecasts through NOAA Weather Radio or your local TV and radio stations, you will be better prepared to handle winter's weather elements, whatever they may be!
Below is a link to the NOAA winter outlook for 2009-10.
Additional information on winter weather preparedness can be obtained on-line through the Virginia department of emergency management home Page. The url is (in lower case):
In addition... the ready Virginia and ready North Carolina web sites haves been developed to aid virginians and north carolinians in their overall disaster preparedness. The urls are: