Leslie holding her own, Kirk turning extra-tropical, new invest

By: wxchaser97 , 10:29 PM GMT on September 02, 2012

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TS Leslie
We are now nearing the peak date and there are a few areas to talk about. TS Leslie formed a few days ago and gave us 8 storms for August. For now Leslie has peaked at 70mph and has been weakening. Right now Leslie has 60mph winds, 998mb pressure, and is moving NW @ 10mph.For a couple days Leslie had been looking good and steadily intensifying. Then strong wind shear came along and changed Leslie's plans. Her center is now exposed and all the convection is on the south side of the storm. Her winds have came down and the pressure came up due to this. Leslie will be in a sheared environment for a few more days and possibly weaken a little more or stay the same. After shear decreases Leslie should take off in intensity. Leslie will continue to slowly go to the north west the nest few days. Once she gets near Bermuda, possibly as a strong hurricane, then it is likely that she stalls. A trough will eventually come and pull Leslie out and turn her into a big extra-tropical storm if the models are correct. There is a low chance for a US hit and a higher chance for Canada. People in Bermuda, US, and Canada need to watch Leslie closely.


Post-TS Kirk & 99L
TS Kirk has official lost all tropical characteristics and the final advisory has been written. Kirk has 50mph winds, 1002mb pressure, and is moving at a very fast 47mph. Looking at the satellite you can tell Kirk has made the transition. Kirk will not be a threat to land and will quickly get absorbed into the trough.

An invest had formed last night and it was tagged 99L. It is currently over the northern Atlantic and is so far not a threat to land. It has a tight small circulation but there isn't a lot of convection. The NHC give it a 10% chance of development but I give it a 20% chance. I do because these small systems wrap up quickly and we have had other storms in that area this year. We will have to watch 99L to see if it tries to develop.


My forecast and outlook:


I'll have a new update tomorrow, have a safe Labor Day weekend!
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12. wxchaser97
11:10 PM GMT on September 07, 2012
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
OK!

OK, THANKS!
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7942
11. GeorgiaStormz
1:47 PM GMT on September 03, 2012
OK!
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9727
10. wxchaser97
12:14 AM GMT on September 03, 2012
Quoting WeatherNerdPR:
Thanks for the blog.
I already miss Kirk :(

Your welcome, he was a good storm! Too bad he couldn't live long and prosper.
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7942
9. wxchaser97
12:11 AM GMT on September 03, 2012
Quoting Civicane49:
Thanks.

You're welcome Civic!
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7942
8. WeatherNerdPR
12:00 AM GMT on September 03, 2012
Thanks for the blog.
I already miss Kirk :(
Member Since: July 7, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 5682
7. Civicane49
11:55 PM GMT on September 02, 2012
Thanks.
Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 83 Comments: 7167
6. wxchaser97
10:40 PM GMT on September 02, 2012
Quoting MAweatherboy1:
Thanks for the blog!

You're welcome!
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7942
5. MAweatherboy1
10:37 PM GMT on September 02, 2012
Thanks for the blog!
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 83 Comments: 7782
4. wxchaser97
10:34 PM GMT on September 02, 2012
Quoting GTcooliebai:
I like the awaiting visitors at the bottom :P

It takes a little bit to update, thanks for reading!
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7942
3. GTcooliebai
10:33 PM GMT on September 02, 2012
I like the awaiting visitors at the bottom :P
Member Since: August 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 5628
2. wxchaser97
10:32 PM GMT on September 02, 2012
Quoting TropicalAnalystwx13:
Yeah, yeah.

Knowing you I take that as a compliment, thanks for reading.
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7942
1. TropicalAnalystwx13
10:29 PM GMT on September 02, 2012
Yeah, yeah.

Nice blog I guess, Isaac.
Member Since: July 6, 2010 Posts: 113 Comments: 32040

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About wxchaser97

I'm in high school and love meteorology and extreme weather. I've been fascinated by weather since I was 5, and I plan on becoming a meteorologist.

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