Fabio a TS, Atlantic developement, Heat takes the nation again

By: wxchaser97 , 3:59 AM GMT on July 17, 2012

Share this Blog
6
+

Fabio weakens to a TS
Hurricane Fabio has now weakened to a tropical storm. Fabio is fastly fading and should be gone in the next two days. Fabio has 65mph winds, 994 mb
pressure, and is moving N at 8 mph. Fabio's satellite appearance is not looking good. His cloud temps have warmed and is becoming sheared. This is due to drier air, cooler waters, and higher wind shear. I think that Fabio will become post-tropical on Tuesday. With the 3 hurricanes the epac waters have cooled some. After Fabio no major developement is expected. A weak system could spin up since the mjo lingers in the area.


Possible Atlantic developement still perdicted
The GFS and ECMF both show a front that goes into the Atlantic over the next few days. Both models also show a few vorticies/lows along the front. The GFS has had more lows than the euro, but the euro still develops one low like the GFS. Any development would go out to sea. The lows would form in a marginally favorable enviorment. This enviorment is low shear, warm sst's, high pressure envirment, and average instability. The question is would the lows be tropical, sub-tropical, or non-tropical. I say the chances of a tropical storm are moderate since there is model support but an ify enviorment. Other than the frontal scenario there is no tropical cyclone formation expected for the next 2 weeks.

Special features
A blob of the E FL coast is associated with a ULL and one off the west coast as well. The ULLs could work down to the surface and at best make an invest/TD. This is not likely and models don't pick up on it. A seris of tropical waves are rolling off Africa. Some of the waves are loking juicier and the water is warm to hot out there. The SAL and lack of mjo prevents any major development. We need to wait a couple weeks before something can really get going.

Another heat wave
Another heat wave is taking aim on the US. The heat is already baking the plains and is ready to move east. Temops of 100+ degrees are being felt and forecasted across the midwest and great lakes. Heat advisories, watches, and warnings are in effect. Everyone should stay cool, stay hydrated, and hopefully stay inside. This round of heat is different as a cold front will quickly knock temps back down across the north. This same front is forecasted for possible tropical development in the Atlantic as stated above. The heat will put more stress on crops and the drought. The heat/ cold front will also provide a focus for severe t-storms.
The storms will be across the northern 1/3 of the country. Storms could contain large hail, strong winds, and a tornado or two.

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 12 - 1

Page: 1 — Blog Index

12. wxchaser97
6:48 PM GMT on July 17, 2012
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
Nice is the blog.
Thanks
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7927
11. GeorgiaStormz
4:06 PM GMT on July 17, 2012
Nice is the blog.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 9718
10. wxchaser97
10:52 AM GMT on July 17, 2012
Quoting MAweatherboy1:
Great job!
Thanks.
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7927
9. MAweatherboy1
10:47 AM GMT on July 17, 2012
Great job!
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 82 Comments: 7566
8. wxchaser97
5:02 AM GMT on July 17, 2012
Quoting NCHurricane2009:
Thanks!

Lots of stories on here. For me...I just blog on the Atlantic LOL
Your welcome, I like the Atlantic the best but knowing there is other things out there as well I included them.
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7927
7. NCHurricane2009
4:59 AM GMT on July 17, 2012
Thanks!

Lots of stories on here. For me...I just blog on the Atlantic LOL
Member Since: September 15, 2009 Posts: 427 Comments: 3581
6. wxchaser97
4:58 AM GMT on July 17, 2012
Quoting Civicane49:
Great update!
Thanks, if we don't get anything from the front. We are all going to have a bad time.
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7927
5. Civicane49
4:57 AM GMT on July 17, 2012
Great update!
Member Since: July 21, 2011 Posts: 83 Comments: 7167
4. wxchaser97
4:46 AM GMT on July 17, 2012
Quoting CybrTeddy:
Excellent update!
Thanks, hope we get sopmething out of this front tropics wise but I have my doubts. This heat keeps on making come backs and should rebuild after the front.
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7927
3. CybrTeddy
4:44 AM GMT on July 17, 2012
Excellent update!
Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 23501
2. wxchaser97
4:30 AM GMT on July 17, 2012
Quoting pcola57:
Thanks for the blog wxchaser97..
Heat Heat and more heat..
I now hate summers more than I used to.. :)
Thanks again
This summer sure has been hot. Even with relief the heat just comes back again.
Member Since: March 16, 2012 Posts: 127 Comments: 7927
1. pcola57
4:23 AM GMT on July 17, 2012
Thanks for the blog wxchaser97..
Heat Heat and more heat..
I now hate summers more than I used to.. :)
Thanks again
Member Since: August 13, 2009 Posts: 13 Comments: 6760

Viewing: 12 - 1

Page: 1 — Blog Index

Top of Page

About wxchaser97

I'm in high school and love meteorology and extreme weather. I've been fascinated by weather since I was 5, and I plan on becoming a meteorologist.

Local Weather

Mostly Cloudy
82 °F
Mostly Cloudy