Low 80's

By: whitewabit , 12:57 PM GMT on August 12, 2013

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THIS SITE Does NOT reflect the official forecasts of the National Hurricane Center, when making decisions, please heed the advisories and evacuation statements of your local National Weather Service Office and the National Hurricane Center



A little about my self -

I joined weather Underground in August of 2005 right after they opened the blogging feature. I have been a weather hobbyist since the middle 60's when I lived on the west coast of Florida, north of the Tampa Bay area. I currently live in a small community in central Illinois.

I have been through numerous Hurricanes during my life time. The worse being Hurricane Camille in August 17,1969, A Cat 5, where the eye passed over the location I was at. That being Biloxi, Ms when I was in the USAF stationed at Keesler AFB.













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Good afternoon, as you probably know by now that I am one of the blog moderators .. Some people won't want moderators to post on their blogs for numerous reason ..

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86. WunderAlertBot (Admin)
4:42 PM GMT on August 26, 2013
whitewabit has created a new entry.
85. whitewabit
4:10 AM GMT on August 26, 2013
257 PM CDT sun Aug 25 2013

... An extended period of hot weather will occur this week...

A large area of high pressure aloft will prevail over the central
United States through the week. This will result in an extended
period of hot weather over central and southeast Illinois... with
highs in the 90s each day. Currently... it appears that Tuesday and
Wednesday will be the hottest days during the period... with highs
in the mid to upper 90s and heat index values of 100 to 105
degrees.

There is a risk for heat related illnesses this week... especially
for people in poor health... or those who have to spend a lot of
time exposed to the heat. This includes students who attend
schools that lack air conditioning... or are participating in
outdoor sports activities. To avoid being overcome by heat
exhaustion or heat stroke... take plenty of breaks in shaded or air
conditioned environments... wear light weight and loose fitting
clothing... and drink plenty of water.

Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 362 Comments: 31358
84. whitewabit
2:59 AM GMT on August 26, 2013
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FERNAND ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062013
1000 PM CDT SUN AUG 25 2013

...FERNAND CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN...
...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS LASHING VERACRUZ HARBOR...


SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.3N 96.2W
ABOUT 5 MI...10 KM N OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM SE OF TUXPAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO NORTH OF BARRA DE NAUTLA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GULF COAST OF MEXICO FROM VERACRUZ NORTHWARD TO BARRA DE NAUTLA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 6 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FERNAND WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.2 WEST. FERNAND IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. A WESTWARD TO
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER SHOULD MOVE ACROSS THE VERACRUZ METROPOLITAN AREA TONIGHT...
AND MOVE INLAND OVER MEXICO BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT AND
OBSERVING STATIONS IN VERACRUZ MEXICO INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/H...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE
FERNAND MAKES LANDFALL ALONG THE GULF COAST OF MEXICO EARLY MONDAY
MORNING. WEAKENING WILL BEGIN AFTER THE CENTER MOVES INLAND.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM
FROM THE CENTER. TWO MEXICAN COASTAL WEATHER OBSERVING SITES IN
VERACRUZ HARBOR RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 50
MPH...85 KM/H WITH GUSTS UP TO 72 MPH...117 KM/H.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...BASED ON NEARBY SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS...IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...TROPICAL STORM FERNAND IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 4 TO 8
INCHES OF RAIN OVER VERACRUZ...HIDALGO...NORTHERN PUEBLA...SOUTHERN
TAMAULIPAS...AND EASTERN SAN LUIS POTOSI MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS NEAR 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE SPREADING OVER THE COASTAL
AREAS OF THE MEXICAN STATE OF VERACRUZ.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 AM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART/KIMBERLAIN
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 362 Comments: 31358
83. whitewabit
12:24 AM GMT on August 26, 2013
Quoting 81. Ylee:
Hi, wab! Looks like you're having perfect weather for the shindig! Not too bad here, but the rest of the week is supposed to be up in the 90s!

Have fun!


went to a park that had a little water spraying area for the kids to play in .. it was hot and the water cold .. kids had a blast ..
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 362 Comments: 31358
82. whitewabit
12:22 AM GMT on August 26, 2013
Quoting 80. RenoSoHill:
Brats..on my way! My oldest grand daughter turned 12 yesterday!


they grow up too fast don't they ..
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 362 Comments: 31358
81. Ylee
7:19 PM GMT on August 25, 2013
Hi, wab! Looks like you're having perfect weather for the shindig! Not too bad here, but the rest of the week is supposed to be up in the 90s!

Have fun!
Member Since: February 3, 2011 Posts: 93 Comments: 15536
80. RenoSoHill
6:12 PM GMT on August 25, 2013
Quoting 78. whitewabit:


brats, hot dogs and hamburgers ..
Brats..on my way! My oldest grand daughter turned 12 yesterday!
Member Since: December 12, 2009 Posts: 7 Comments: 10787
79. Skyepony (Mod)
4:27 PM GMT on August 25, 2013
Happy Birthday to your GrandDaughter!!!



I know your kind of anti large gifs in here so you can take this down..after you show your GD:))
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 162 Comments: 37779
78. whitewabit
4:22 PM GMT on August 25, 2013
Quoting 77. palmettobug53:

will be reaching all the way to you in a few more days ..


Sure does look that way, doesn't it?

The Big 10, huh? Bet she's excited, too. What's going on the grill this afternoon? I'm hungry!


brats, hot dogs and hamburgers ..

Edit - and of course cake and icecream ..
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 362 Comments: 31358
77. palmettobug53
4:17 PM GMT on August 25, 2013

will be reaching all the way to you in a few more days ..


Sure does look that way, doesn't it?

The Big 10, huh? Bet she's excited, too. What's going on the grill this afternoon? I'm hungry!
Member Since: October 7, 2005 Posts: 233 Comments: 25064
76. whitewabit
4:10 PM GMT on August 25, 2013
Beautiful day here .. Granddaughter turns the big 10 today .. cookout bash for her this afternoon ..
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 362 Comments: 31358
75. whitewabit
4:09 PM GMT on August 25, 2013


TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SUN AUG 25 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

1. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH OVER
THE SOUTHERN BAY OF CAMPECHE IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF
DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AND A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM BEFORE THE SYSTEM REACHES THE COAST
OF THE STATE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO ON MONDAY. THIS SYSTEM HAS A
HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A HIGH CHANCE...60 PERCENT...OF BECOMING
A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. INTERESTS IN THE
STATE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
DISTURBANCE. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS
SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON.

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?COD E=ETWO

FORECASTER BROWN
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 362 Comments: 31358
74. whitewabit
4:07 PM GMT on August 25, 2013
Quoting 72. palmettobug53:
Unbelievable.....

The jet stream just picks it up and carries it across the country.


will be reaching all the way to you in a few more days ..
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 362 Comments: 31358
73. whitewabit
4:06 PM GMT on August 25, 2013
Quoting 71. RenoSoHill:
Plan of the day in Reno - Stay inside and out of the smoke. Check out this WunderMap of the smoke plume from Yosemite - Through Reno, Boise, Calgary, and down to Tennessee. Cough cough!



we are seeing the effects of the smoke from the fires by way of redder sunsets .. colors have been nice the past week or so ..
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 362 Comments: 31358
72. palmettobug53
3:50 PM GMT on August 25, 2013
Unbelievable.....

The jet stream just picks it up and carries it across the country.
Member Since: October 7, 2005 Posts: 233 Comments: 25064
71. RenoSoHill
3:42 PM GMT on August 25, 2013
Plan of the day in Reno - Stay inside and out of the smoke. Check out this WunderMap of the smoke plume from Yosemite - Through Reno, Boise, Calgary, and down to Tennessee. Cough cough!

Member Since: December 12, 2009 Posts: 7 Comments: 10787
70. palmettobug53
2:30 PM GMT on August 25, 2013
Hi, wab.

No rain clouds today or even in the forecast for the next week. Blue skies, sun and no humidity. It was 68F when I got up at 7:30. Just beautiful weather.

I see we have a swirly. It looks to be heading towards Mexico, so no issue for us on the Eastern Seaboard.
Member Since: October 7, 2005 Posts: 233 Comments: 25064
69. whitewabit
5:16 AM GMT on August 25, 2013




Plan of the Day

------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------

000
NOUS42 KNHC 241538
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1100 AM EDT SAT 24 AUGUST 2013
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 25/1100Z TO 26/1100Z AUGUST 2013
TCPOD NUMBER.....13-084 CORRECTION (TCPOD NUMBER)

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. BAY OF CAMPECHE
FLIGHT ONE -- TEAL 70
A. 25/2000Z
B. AFXXX 01BBA INVEST
C. 25/1715Z
D. 20.0N 95.5W
E. 25/1900Z TO 26/0000Z
F. SFC TO 5,000 FT
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
3. REMARKS: GLOBAL HAWK DROPWINDSONDE MISSION DEPARTING
24/1100Z TO OPERATE IN AREA BOUNDED BY 10N-22N AND 26W-36W,
FL 550 TO 650. DURATION OF MISSION IS 26 HRS.

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

$$
ECD




Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 362 Comments: 31358
68. whitewabit
1:54 AM GMT on August 25, 2013
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 362 Comments: 31358
67. whitewabit
1:53 AM GMT on August 25, 2013
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT SAT AUG 24 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

1. A LOW PRESSURE AREA ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED OVER THE
WESTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA IS ACCOMPANIED BY A LARGE AREA OF
CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THIS DISTURBANCE IS FORECAST TO MOVE
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND SUNDAY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
BAY OF CAMPECHE...WHERE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE
FAVORABLE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM
CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A
TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. AN AIR FORCE PLANE IS
SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON...IF
NECESSARY. WHETHER TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION OCCURS OR NOT...THIS
DISTURBANCE IS LIKELY TO MOVE INLAND OVER THE STATE OF VERACRUZ
MEXICO IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.

2. CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED OVER THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO...NEAR THE LOUISIANA COAST...ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A WESTWARD
MOVING TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE. THIS ACTIVITY IS POORLY ORGANIZED
AND THERE IS NO EVIDENCE OF A SURFACE CIRCULATION. THIS SYSTEM HAS
A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?COD E=ETWO

FORECASTER AVILA
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 362 Comments: 31358
66. whitewabit
7:33 PM GMT on August 24, 2013
Quoting 65. palmettobug53:
Yeah, you gotta have some rain to plump up those kernels.

The sun has finally come out a bit but I still see rain clouds.


yep you sure do .. and the farmers don't need two bad years in a row .. last year yields were down due to the heat we endured all summer ..

wish we had a rain cloud over us ..
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 362 Comments: 31358
65. palmettobug53
6:44 PM GMT on August 24, 2013
Yeah, you gotta have some rain to plump up those kernels.

The sun has finally come out a bit but I still see rain clouds.
Member Since: October 7, 2005 Posts: 233 Comments: 25064
64. whitewabit
6:39 PM GMT on August 24, 2013
Quoting 63. HadesGodWyvern:
an inch of rain for the entire month here.. with the heat wave up until September 2nd and little rain forecast. =/


Afternoon HGW .. forecast is the same here .. heat returning this week .. high of 95 forecast for Tuesday ..
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 362 Comments: 31358
63. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
6:32 PM GMT on August 24, 2013
an inch of rain for the entire month here.. with the heat wave up until September 2nd and little rain forecast. =/
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45205
62. whitewabit
6:29 PM GMT on August 24, 2013
Quoting 61. palmettobug53:
Hi, wab.

Been getting some rain this morning. It's been a slow, easy rain, so I'm hoping it's soaked in.

I can't recall when I last dumped the gauge. It can't be but a couple of days or so and we hadn't really had much rain, to speak of. in the past few days.

I just checked and there was an inch and a few drops over.


still only .45 inches this month here .. haven't mowed my yard in 3 weeks now .. no rain, nothing growing .. corn really needs some moisture so the kernels will develop .. and so do the beans .. lack of moisture now can reduce the yield ..
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 362 Comments: 31358
61. palmettobug53
3:42 PM GMT on August 24, 2013
Hi, wab.

Been getting some rain this morning. It's been a slow, easy rain, so I'm hoping it's soaked in.

I can't recall when I last dumped the gauge. It can't be but a couple of days or so and we hadn't really had much rain, to speak of. in the past few days.

I just checked and there was an inch and a few drops over.
Member Since: October 7, 2005 Posts: 233 Comments: 25064
60. whitewabit
6:31 PM GMT on August 23, 2013
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT FRI AUG 23 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

1. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO HAVE BECOME A LITTLE BETTER
ORGANIZED. ADDITIONAL SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE
WHILE IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND
NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THIS SYSTEM
HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT... OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT FIVE DAYS.

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?COD E=ETWO

FORECASTER BEVEN

Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 362 Comments: 31358
59. whitewabit
2:20 AM GMT on August 23, 2013
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT THU AUG 22 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

1. DISORGANIZED CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NORTH AND CENTRAL
GULF OF MEXICO ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE.
SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT PRESSURES ARE NOT FALLING AND
SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED WHILE THE TROUGH MOVES
WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS SYSTEM
HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT... OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT FIVE DAYS.

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?COD E=ETWO

FORECASTER BROWN
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 362 Comments: 31358
58. whitewabit
7:01 PM GMT on August 22, 2013
has clouded up and getting few sprinkles this afternoon .. but the main rain band moved to the SE just missing us .. temp have dropped from 80 down to 70 degrees now ..
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 362 Comments: 31358
57. whitewabit
2:27 PM GMT on August 22, 2013
Quoting 56. HadesGodWyvern:
almost three-quarters of an inch total for the month of August here so far.

next week there are indications of mid-nineties for high temperatures. =/


we got a surprize shower in the middle of the night .. that gave us .25 inches of needed rain ..
hopefully the rain at night didn't evaporate as it would have during the heat of the day ..
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 362 Comments: 31358
56. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
7:21 PM GMT on August 21, 2013
almost three-quarters of an inch total for the month of August here so far.

next week there are indications of mid-nineties for high temperatures. =/
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45205
55. whitewabit
5:38 PM GMT on August 21, 2013
Has warmed up today as expected .. 86 here at noon ..
suppose to warm up to 91 Thursday with a 30% chance of Thunderstorms ..

needing the rain badly now with only .38 inches for the month..
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 362 Comments: 31358
54. whitewabit
8:29 PM GMT on August 20, 2013
Quoting 53. HadesGodWyvern:
drought conditions slowly returning for Illinois counties, huh.


HGW .. the long term has the drought increasing up through northern Missouri and from Quincy over to us ..

trying to find that map but it has evaded me so far today ..
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 362 Comments: 31358
53. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
8:07 PM GMT on August 20, 2013
drought conditions slowly returning for Illinois counties, huh.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 45205
52. whitewabit
7:54 PM GMT on August 20, 2013
Up to 86 here now .. walking the dog in the yard .. have 2 acres .. there are large cracks in the ground everywhere .. even the low area that usually stays somewhat moist ..

Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 362 Comments: 31358
51. whitewabit
6:16 PM GMT on August 20, 2013
up to 85 degrees already here at the house at 1 pm .. believe the high is suppose to approach 90 this afternoon !!
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 362 Comments: 31358
50. whitewabit
6:15 PM GMT on August 20, 2013
Quiet in the gulf and Caribbean this week .. don't expect any chance of tropical formation for at least another week to ten days ..
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 362 Comments: 31358
49. whitewabit
4:22 PM GMT on August 20, 2013
Warming up today .. still no rain in site ..

watered the grass last night .. just where we sit in the evening .. getting the grass green again should make it cooler in that area .. could hear the corn popping last night in the dew ..
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 362 Comments: 31358
48. whitewabit
3:07 AM GMT on August 19, 2013
BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ERIN ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052013
500 PM AST SUN AUG 18 2013

...ERIN DEGENERATES INTO A REMNANT LOW...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.4N 39.8W
ABOUT 1080 MI...1740 KM WNW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT ERIN HAS BECOME A REMNANT LOW.

AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ERIN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 39.8 WEST. THE
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH...13
KM/H....AND A WEST TO SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF WEST MOTION IS EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON ERIN. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND
IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...
UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 362 Comments: 31358
47. whitewabit
10:49 PM GMT on August 18, 2013
Quoting 44. palmettobug53:
Hi, wab.

Even with all the rain we got the latter part of last week, it didn't penetrate very far. I pulled up some weeds yesterday and the roots came up with dry dirt.

It never did rain again yesterday. The sun was out a bit yesterday afternoon. I think we had a light shower or two last night. Woke up to sunny skies this morning, so got the rest of the laundry done.

From what I see on the NWS website, it looks like we're back to 20-30% chance of afternoon showers and T-storms. The usual summer fare.


forecast for us this next week calling for temps back into the high 80's .. figures school starts tomorrow in most of the districts up her ..

has been a very nice summer temp wise this year so really can't complain .. but a little rain once a week would be nice ..
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 362 Comments: 31358
46. whitewabit
10:13 PM GMT on August 18, 2013
Quoting 45. Ylee:
August has been dry here, too; we've had less than 1/2" of rain this month, so far.

Corn seems to be OK, but I'm not sure about soybeans....


corn and bean look fair up here .. crops need the rain to fill out the kernels though .. big cracks in my yard .. and my tomatoes havve pulled back some .. think its the cool nights (low 50's) we have been having ..
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 362 Comments: 31358
45. Ylee
7:39 PM GMT on August 18, 2013
August has been dry here, too; we've had less than 1/2" of rain this month, so far.

Corn seems to be OK, but I'm not sure about soybeans....
Member Since: February 3, 2011 Posts: 93 Comments: 15536
44. palmettobug53
4:48 PM GMT on August 18, 2013
Hi, wab.

Even with all the rain we got the latter part of last week, it didn't penetrate very far. I pulled up some weeds yesterday and the roots came up with dry dirt.

It never did rain again yesterday. The sun was out a bit yesterday afternoon. I think we had a light shower or two last night. Woke up to sunny skies this morning, so got the rest of the laundry done.

From what I see on the NWS website, it looks like we're back to 20-30% chance of afternoon showers and T-storms. The usual summer fare.
Member Since: October 7, 2005 Posts: 233 Comments: 25064
43. whitewabit
4:24 PM GMT on August 18, 2013
Quoting 41. palmettobug53:
Hi, wab.

Rain, rain and more rain.

I just discovered the aptly named Flooded Streets. It's kind of disturbing that the downtown flooding is so bad it rates a page on FB.

Note: The Hat Man mentioned in the FB page was a bit of advertising for a haberdashery in the late 1800's. He still graces the exterior wall of the building.

I found the FB page while I was looking for this: Aah, Venice in our own backyard!



Bug .. we sure could use some of your rain here in the Midwest .. drought conditions are suppose to return to my area in September .. we have only had .38 inches of rain this month of August ..

Have big cracks in the earth and people are having trouble with the dirt pulling away from foundations of their homes .. which later when it rains can cause leakage into the basements ..
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 362 Comments: 31358
42. whitewabit
4:21 PM GMT on August 18, 2013
Quoting 40. sandiquiz:
Hi Wabit,
Not been round for a few days, just want to wish you a great weekend!


Thanks Sandi .. looks like our 70 degree weather we have enjoyed the last few weeks will go by the way side .. back to mid and high 80's forecast for this next week ..
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 362 Comments: 31358
41. palmettobug53
1:03 PM GMT on August 17, 2013
Hi, wab.

Rain, rain and more rain.

I just discovered the aptly named Flooded Streets. It's kind of disturbing that the downtown flooding is so bad it rates a page on FB.

Note: The Hat Man mentioned in the FB page was a bit of advertising for a haberdashery in the late 1800's. He still graces the exterior wall of the building.

I found the FB page while I was looking for this: Aah, Venice in our own backyard!

Member Since: October 7, 2005 Posts: 233 Comments: 25064
40. sandiquiz
8:21 AM GMT on August 17, 2013
Hi Wabit,
Not been round for a few days, just want to wish you a great weekend!
Member Since: October 29, 2005 Posts: 291 Comments: 26175
39. Camille33
6:58 AM GMT on August 17, 2013
Quoting 38. whitewabit:
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SAT AUG 17 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON
RECENTLY-UPGRADED TROPICAL STORM ERIN...LOCATED WEST-NORTHWEST OF
THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

1. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF
MEXICO ABOUT 120 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF CAMPECHE MEXICO. THIS
SYSTEM REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED WITH ANY ASSOCIATED SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY LOCATED WELL TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF THE
LOW CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS COULD BECOME SOMEWHAT MORE
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT WHILE THE LOW GENERALLY MOVES TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. INTERESTS
IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THE SYSTEM THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS SYSTEM HAS A
MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING
A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?COD E=ETWO

FORECASTER BEVEN


here we go 94l form soon near 45w!!!
Member Since: July 2, 2013 Posts: 0 Comments: 1455
38. whitewabit
6:55 AM GMT on August 17, 2013
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT SAT AUG 17 2013

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON
RECENTLY-UPGRADED TROPICAL STORM ERIN...LOCATED WEST-NORTHWEST OF
THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

1. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF
MEXICO ABOUT 120 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF CAMPECHE MEXICO. THIS
SYSTEM REMAINS POORLY ORGANIZED WITH ANY ASSOCIATED SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY LOCATED WELL TO THE NORTH AND NORTHEAST OF THE
LOW CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS COULD BECOME SOMEWHAT MORE
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT WHILE THE LOW GENERALLY MOVES TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. INTERESTS
IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THE SYSTEM THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS SYSTEM HAS A
MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING
A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?COD E=ETWO

FORECASTER BEVEN

Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 362 Comments: 31358
37. whitewabit
10:45 PM GMT on August 16, 2013


TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT FRI AUG 16 2013

CORRECTED TO CHANGE STATUS OF ERIN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION.

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
DEPRESSION ERIN...LOCATED WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.

1. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF
MEXICO ABOUT 120 MILES NORTH-NORTHWEST OF CAMPECHE MEXICO. SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED A LITTLE OVER THE PAST FEW
HOURS...BUT IS STILL LOCATED WELL TO THE EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE
LOW CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS COULD BECOME MORE FAVORABLE
FOR DEVELOPMENT IF THE LOW MOVES TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN
GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE SYSTEM THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. IF THE LOW TAKES A MORE NORTHWARD TRACK...HOWEVER...IT
WOULD MOVE INTO A LESS CONDUCIVE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT. THIS
SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...50 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A HIGH CHANCE...60
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.

FIVE-DAY FORMATION PROBABILITIES ARE EXPERIMENTAL IN 2013. COMMENTS
ON THE EXPERIMENTAL FORECASTS CAN BE PROVIDED AT...

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/SURVEY/NWS-SURVEY.PHP?COD E=ETWO

FORECASTER BRENNAN
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 362 Comments: 31358
36. whitewabit
10:44 PM GMT on August 16, 2013
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052013
500 PM AST FRI AUG 16 2013

...ERIN CHANGES LITTLE IN STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...17.7N 33.3W
ABOUT 625 MI...1010 KM WNW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ERIN
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 33.3 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28
KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A
GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Member Since: August 17, 2005 Posts: 362 Comments: 31358

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About whitewabit

Retired weather junkie, currently living in Central Illinois. worst hurricane I've been through was Camille, in Biloxi, Ms. A Blog Moderator .